Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Draw or Away
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
73.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
74.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
92%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Kibera Black Stars Win 26.5%
Draw 27.8%
Fortune Sacco Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kibera Black Stars0.91
Fortune Sacco1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kibera Black Stars
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Fortune Sacco
WLDWL
48 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kibera Black Stars
29 matches
Fortune Sacco
28 matches
| Kibera Black Stars | Statistic | Fortune Sacco |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 14 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 48 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Kibera Black Stars won 1 times, Fortune Sacco won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Kibera Black Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.
1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.5%)
H2H summary: Kibera Black Stars wins 1, draws 5, Fortune Sacco wins 0
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
27.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
13.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
3
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
H2H: Kibera Black Stars vs Fortune Sacco
25.04.26
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
21.12.25
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
18.05.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
01.12.24
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
05.05.23
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
15.01.23
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
27.04.22
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
08.01.22
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
0
W
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
07.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
16.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
2
1
W
23.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
12.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
0
W
28.09.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Kibera Black Stars
25.04.26
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
18.05.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
05.05.23
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
08.01.22
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
0
W
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
13.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
3
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
10.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
0
1
L
30.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
1
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
25.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
H2H away: Fortune Sacco
25.04.26
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
18.05.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
05.05.23
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
08.01.22
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
0
L
Standings
Super League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Fortune Sacco
Away
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Kibera Black Stars
Home
|
38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
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