KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kibera Black Stars Win 30.3%
Draw 0%
3K Win 69.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kibera Black Stars0.8
3K1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
3K 3K
WLDWL
53 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.66
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars 32 matches
3K 3K 32 matches
Kibera Black Stars Statistic 3K
15 Wins 20
6 Draws 5
11 Losses 7
28 Goals For 53
25 Goals Against 22
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 24
7 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. 3K look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward 3K having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 3K. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kibera Black Stars Analysis

So far, Kibera Black Stars have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 51 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 28:25 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

3K Analysis

3K come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 65 points after 32 matches. With 20 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 53:22, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Kibera Black Stars won 2 times, 3K won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Kibera Black Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Kibera Black Stars wins 2, draws 0, 3K wins 2
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
27.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
Last matches: 3K
13.06.26
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
H2H: Kibera Black Stars vs 3K
16.05.26
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
04.12.25
H2H
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
0
L
30.04.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
3K
2
0
W
12.01.25
H2H
3K
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
W
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
07.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
2
1
W
23.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
12.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
0
W
28.09.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Kibera Black Stars
16.05.26
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
30.04.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
3K
2
0
W
Last matches: 3K
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
3K
Naivas
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
21.12.25
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
3K
MCF
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
3K
Soy United
0
1
L
17.11.25
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
11.10.25
Sup
3K
Talanta
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
1
2
L
H2H away: 3K
16.05.26
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
W
30.04.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
3K
2
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2
3K Away
38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation