NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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KFUM Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KFUM Oslo Win 52.9%
Draw 7.1%
Lillestrom Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
KFUM Oslo1.28
Lillestrom1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WWDLW
27 GF / 44 GA
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WLDWL
52 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
13
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
17
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 24 matches
Lillestrom Lillestrom 28 matches
KFUM Oslo Statistic Lillestrom
6 Wins 12
6 Draws 4
12 Losses 12
27 Goals For 52
44 Goals Against 42
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
13 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 8
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.07
11 Total Shots 12.36
4.13 Corners 4.86
45.6% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Lillestrom's more proactive style and KFUM Oslo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KFUM Oslo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lillestrom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lillestrom having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lillestrom. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 18 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 18:26 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bilal Njie (3 goals), Magnus Wolff Eikrem (2 goals), Rasmus Eggen Vinge (2 goals), with creative support from Magnus Wolff Eikrem (2 assists), Robin Rasch (2 assists), Jonas Lange Hjorth (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom sit 4 with 25 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 22:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (4 goals), Felix Vá (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Ylldren Ibrahimaj (2 assists), Lars Ranger (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, KFUM Oslo won 2 times, Lillestrom won 8 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from KFUM Oslo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: KFUM Oslo 3-4-3 / Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: KFUM Oslo wins 2, draws 0, Lillestrom wins 8
Last matches: KFUM Oslo
07.08.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
1
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
26.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Molde
2
4
L
18.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Vendsyssel FF
0
2
L
21.06.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Molde
1
5
L
29.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Rosenborg
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Brann
1
2
L
10.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Viking
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
19.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
12.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
1
2
L
22.03.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
1
3
L
15.03.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Start
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Stromsgodset
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
0
1
L
Last matches: Lillestrom
31.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
H2H: KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom
18.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
L
07.02.26
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
L
25.06.25
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
0
L
28.02.25
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
0
5
W
30.08.24
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
2
0
W
27.06.24
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
3
1
L
02.12.20
H2H
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
0
L
11.08.20
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
20.06.20
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
Last matches: KFUM Oslo
02.08.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
26.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Molde
2
4
L
12.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
29.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Rosenborg
2
0
W
10.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Viking
0
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
1
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Start
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Stromsgodset
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Kongsvinger
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Skeid
1
1
D
H2H at home: KFUM Oslo
30.08.24
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
2
0
W
11.08.20
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
20.06.20
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
Last matches: Lillestrom
31.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
H2H away: Lillestrom
30.08.24
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
2
0
L
11.08.20
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
W
20.06.20
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 15 12 1 2 37:14 23 37
W D W W L
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 15 7 3 5 28:22 6 24
D W L D W
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 15 6 4 5 18:19 -1 22
D W D W W
8 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
9 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
10 15 5 3 7 21:21 0 18
L W W W D
11 16 5 3 8 18:26 -8 18
W W L L L
12 15 5 2 8 16:27 -11 17
W L L L W
13 16 4 3 9 13:22 -9 15
L L L L D
14 15 2 7 6 21:35 -14 13
L D L D D
15 15 3 3 9 13:25 -12 12
L L D L L
16 16 2 4 10 16:37 -21 10
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen