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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
17.10.2026 12:00
Referee: H. M. Jonasson
Keflavik
Match Timeline
KR Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
G. Gudmundsson · Assist: E. Saebjornsson
KR Reykjavik
⚽
29'
A. Thordarson · Assist: G. Gudmundsson
KR Reykjavik
🔄
46'
A. Conteh ↔ F. Elvarsson
Keflavik
🔄
46'
E. Bwomono ↔ E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
⚽
47'
S. Ljubicic · Assist: E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
⚽
51'
D. Valsson · Assist: E. Ragnarsson
Keflavik
🔄
68'
D. Valsson ↔ A. Adalbjorssnos
Keflavik
🔄
80'
V. A. Traustason ↔ B. L. Brynjarsson
Keflavik
🔄
82'
L. Rae ↔ H. Sigurdsson
KR Reykjavik
🔄
82'
G. Gudmundsson ↔ S. Karason
KR Reykjavik
🔄
86'
A. Albertsson ↔ O. Kjartansson
KR Reykjavik
🔄
88'
A. Magnusson ↔ E. Karlsson
Keflavik
⚽
89'
G. Eyjolfsson · Assist: A. Traustason
KR Reykjavik

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
1.12 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.22 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.15 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.74 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 41.1%
Draw 11.8%
KR Reykjavik Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.74
KR Reykjavik2.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
L D L L L
6 GF / 13 GA
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
W L W L D
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
3.28
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
19
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 25 matches
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 25 matches
Keflavik Statistic KR Reykjavik
8 Wins 15
5 Draws 5
12 Losses 5
37 Goals For 82
47 Goals Against 53
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 3.28
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
19 BTTS Yes 23
21 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 20
5 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by KR Reykjavik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KR Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Keflavik have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KR Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 44 points while Keflavik sit 6 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KR Reykjavik. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 28 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 33:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KR Reykjavik Analysis

KR Reykjavik arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 44 points after 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 74:49 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 1 times, KR Reykjavik won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Keflavik's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 1, draws 0, KR Reykjavik wins 4

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L L D L D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W W L W L
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L W L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D W L W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L D L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L L W D
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W L D W W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W W W L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W W L W
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs