ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. K. Twana
Keflavik
Match Timeline
FH hafnarfjordur
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
A. Gudjohnsen ↔ A. Birgisson
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
17'
I. Olafsson
FH hafnarfjordur
26'
A. Birgisson
FH hafnarfjordur
🟨
38'
S. Ljubicic
Keflavik
🟨
40'
M. Brigic
Keflavik
🟨
40'
M. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
41'
K. Halldorsson · Assist: U. Bjornsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
66'
K. S. Frostason ↔ B. Jonsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
66'
U. Bjornsson ↔ S. Hjaltested
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
69'
N. Heras ↔ A. Johannesson
Keflavik
🔄
69'
B. Baxter ↔ D. Valsson
Keflavik
🔄
69'
E. Ragnarsson ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🟨
77'
A. Birgisson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
82'
E. Bjarnason ↔ V. A. Traustason
Keflavik
90'
S. Ljubicic · Assist: A. Johannesson
Keflavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Keflavik Win 78.4%
Draw 10%
FH hafnarfjordur Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keflavik1.88
FH hafnarfjordur1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keflavik Keflavik
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur
WLDWL
13 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.3
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.7
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keflavik Keflavik 9 matches
FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 10 matches
Keflavik Statistic FH hafnarfjordur
3 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
12 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 27
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.7
7 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Keflavik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 11 points compared to FH hafnarfjordur in 12 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FH hafnarfjordur having the stronger overall control. FH hafnarfjordur arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FH hafnarfjordur.

Keflavik Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Keflavik have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Ljubicic (4 goals), M. Al Ghoul (2 goals), M. Brigic (2 goals), with creative support from E. Ragnarsson (3 assists), B. Baxter (3 assists), M. Al Ghoul (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FH hafnarfjordur Analysis

With 2 points from 9 games and a place of 12, FH hafnarfjordur still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 12:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Robertsson (4 goals), G. Gislason (2 goals), K. Halldorsson (2 goals), with creative support from K. Halldorsson (2 assists), U. Bjornsson (2 assists), T. Robertsson (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Keflavik won 3 times, FH hafnarfjordur won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:32 from Keflavik's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Keflavik 4-2-3-1 / FH hafnarfjordur -
H2H summary: Keflavik wins 3, draws 3, FH hafnarfjordur wins 8

Lineups

Keflavik
Formation
FH hafnarfjordur
A. Magnusson
A. Magnusson
N. Heras
N. Heras
M. Brigic
M. Brigic
D. Aronsson
D. Aronsson
A. Magnusson
A. Magnusson
B. Baxter
B. Baxter
E. Bjarnason
E. Bjarnason
E. Ragnarsson
E. Ragnarsson
M. Al Ghoul
M. Al Ghoul
A. Conteh
A. Conteh
S. Ljubicic
S. Ljubicic
J. Andresson
J. Andresson
K. S. Frostason
K. S. Frostason
I. Olafsson
I. Olafsson
G. Gunnarsson
G. Gunnarsson
A. Jonsson
A. Jonsson
T. Robertsson
T. Robertsson
B. Helgason
B. Helgason
A. Gudjohnsen
A. Gudjohnsen
K. Finnbogason
K. Finnbogason
K. Halldorsson
K. Halldorsson
U. Bjornsson
🎯
U. Bjornsson
Keflavik 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Magnusson
4
N. Heras
↓ 69'
20
M. Brigic
🟨 40'
5
D. Aronsson
22
A. Magnusson
8
B. Baxter
↓ 69'
18
E. Bjarnason
↓ 82'
23
E. Ragnarsson
↓ 69'
11
M. Al Ghoul
🟨 40'
21
A. Conteh
10
S. Ljubicic
⚽ 90' 🟨 38'
Substitutes
30
R. Gissurarson
25
F. Elvarsson
6
S. Magnusson
3
A. Johannesson
🎯 90' ↑ 69'
9
H. Al Ghoul
7
D. Valsson
↑ 69'
14
M. Mudrazija
↑ 69'
47
E. Karlsson
28
V. A. Traustason
↑ 82'
FH hafnarfjordur 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Andresson
3
K. S. Frostason
↓ 66'
22
I. Olafsson
🟨 17'
6
G. Gunnarsson
19
A. Jonsson
23
T. Robertsson
37
B. Helgason
90
A. Gudjohnsen
↓ 5'
9
K. Finnbogason
7
K. Halldorsson
⚽ 41'
33
U. Bjornsson
🎯 41' ↓ 66'
Substitutes
24
D. Arnarsson
2
B. Jonsson
↑ 66'
10
S. Hjaltested
↑ 66'
14
A. Birgisson
⚽ 26' ↑ 5' 🟨 77'
38
A. Gudmundsson
32
G. Gislason
66
V. Vidarsson
39
B. Thorsson
40
R. Saevarsson
Last matches: Keflavik
13.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
1
2
L
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
Last matches: FH hafnarfjordur
12.07.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
2
0
W
03.07.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
2
2
D
28.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
21.06.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IA Akranes
0
1
L
22.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
L
17.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
08.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Breidablik
3
3
D
03.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
27.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
2
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
0
3
L
17.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
2
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
FH hafnarfjordur
Moss
1
1
D
H2H: Keflavik vs FH hafnarfjordur
14.06.26
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
26.02.24
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
1
4
W
31.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
3
L
08.05.23
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
2
1
L
15.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
3
L
22.08.22
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
3
0
L
22.05.22
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
W
29.01.22
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
4
1
L
25.08.21
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
0
0
D
21.08.21
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
5
L
16.01.21
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
1
2
W
20.02.19
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
2
D
26.08.18
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
3
L
04.06.18
H2H
FH hafnarfjordur
Keflavik
2
2
D
Last matches: Keflavik
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
H2H at home: Keflavik
14.06.26
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
3
L
15.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
3
L
22.05.22
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
5
L
20.02.19
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
2
D
26.08.18
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
3
L
Last matches: FH hafnarfjordur
22.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
5
L
08.05.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Breidablik
3
3
D
27.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
KR Reykjavik
2
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
0
3
L
17.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
2
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
FH hafnarfjordur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
H2H away: FH hafnarfjordur
14.06.26
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
W
31.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
3
W
15.10.22
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
3
W
22.05.22
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
5
W
20.02.19
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
2
2
D
26.08.18
H2H
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
3
W

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 13 1 0 48:9 39 40
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 53:36 17 32
W D L W L
3 14 9 3 2 38:26 12 30
W D W L W
4 14 7 4 3 34:26 8 25
W W L W D
5 15 6 1 8 24:29 -5 19
L L W D L
6 14 4 4 6 19:26 -7 16
L D W D L
7 14 4 3 7 28:31 -3 15
D W L D W
8 14 4 3 7 24:31 -7 15
L W D W W
9 14 4 3 7 19:28 -9 15
L L L L W
10 14 4 1 9 22:30 -8 13
W L L L L
11 14 2 5 7 20:31 -11 11
W D D D W
12 14 2 2 10 15:41 -26 8
L D L D L