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TURKEY › 1. LIG
14.10.2026 17:00
Aktepe Stadium
Referee: Hakan Ulker
Keçiörengücü
Match Timeline
Iğdır FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Francis Ezeh
Keçiörengücü
🟨
24'
Alim Öztürk
Iğdır FK
🟨
44'
Wellington Ferreira Nascimento
Keçiörengücü
🔄
45'
Tuncer Duhan Aksu ↔ Süleyman Lus
Keçiörengücü
🟨
47'
Moustapha Camara
Iğdır FK
🔄
69'
Serdar Gürler ↔ Felix Ohene Afena-Gyan
Iğdır FK
🔄
69'
Arda Çolak ↔ Ozder Ozcan
Iğdır FK
🟨
74'
Süleyman Lus
Keçiörengücü
🔄
74'
Alcídio Raice ↔ E. Develi
Keçiörengücü
🔄
80'
Odise Roshi ↔ Herculano·Nabian
Keçiörengücü
🔄
81'
Francis Ezeh ↔ Moryke Fofana
Keçiörengücü
🔄
83'
Moustapha Camara ↔ Leandro Bacuna
Iğdır FK
🟨
89'
İbrahim Akdağ
Keçiörengücü
🔄
90+3'
I. Karaogul ↔ Jefferson
Keçiörengücü

Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds 2.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
2.18 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.79 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Keçiörengücü Win 57.3%
Draw 4.4%
Iğdır FK Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keçiörengücü1.56
Iğdır FK1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WWDLW
20 GF / 10 GA
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
6
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
5.89
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 10 matches
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 9 matches
Keçiörengücü Statistic Iğdır FK
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
20 Goals For 14
10 Goals Against 8
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 2
5.89 Shots On Goal 4.44
15.67 Total Shots 13.11
3.56 Corners 4.67
44.9% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Keçiörengücü expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Iğdır FK in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Iğdır FK having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Iğdır FK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Iğdır FK look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Keçiörengücü have collected 13 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 17:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mame Biram Diouf (3 goals), Francis Ezeh (3 goals), İbrahim Akdağ (2 goals), with creative support from Mame Biram Diouf (2 assists), İbrahim Akdağ (1 assists), Halil Can Ayan (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Iğdır FK Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 16 points from 8 games, Iğdır FK bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Felix Afena-Gyan (2 goals), Serdar Gürler (2 goals), Alim Öztürk (2 goals), with creative support from Soner Gönül (2 assists), Felix Afena-Gyan (1 assists), Serdar Gürler (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Keçiörengücü won 2 times, Iğdır FK won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Keçiörengücü's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1 / Iğdır FK 4-3-3
H2H summary: Keçiörengücü wins 2, draws 0, Iğdır FK wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 10 4 3 3 13:14 -1 15
L D W D L
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 10 3 5 2 15:6 9 14
D W L D W
10 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
11 10 2 6 2 14:13 1 12
D W D D W
12 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
13 10 2 5 3 11:9 2 11
W L D W L
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
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