UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
MTN Omondi Stadium
KCCA
Match Timeline
Vipers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
Ahimbisibwe Ivan
KCCA
88'
G. Munsi
Vipers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86%
-
BTTS BTTS No
62.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
85.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT 1-1
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KCCA Win 37.1%
Draw 14%
Vipers Win 48.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KCCA1.06
Vipers1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
KCCA KCCA
WWDLW
36 GF / 19 GA
Vipers Vipers
WLDWL
48 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
2
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
10
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KCCA KCCA 25 matches
Vipers Vipers 24 matches
KCCA Statistic Vipers
16 Wins 17
3 Draws 7
6 Losses 0
36 Goals For 48
19 Goals Against 12
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
10 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vipers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vipers having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KCCA Analysis

KCCA approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 51 points after 25 outings. The return of 16 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 36:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ahimbisibwe Ivan (11 goals), S. Ssebaduka (6 goals), S. Mayanja (5 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Vipers Analysis

Vipers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 58 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, with a 48:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Watambala (10 goals), A. Usama (8 goals), M. Karisa (6 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KCCA won 4 times, Vipers won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from KCCA's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
H2H summary: KCCA wins 4, draws 5, Vipers wins 6
Last matches: KCCA
23.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Mbarara City
4
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
KCCA
URA
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
2
1
W
07.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Calvary
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Kitara
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
KCCA
SC Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Lugazi
3
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Express
3
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
18.02.26
Pre
KCCA
BUL
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
KCCA
NEC
1
3
L
30.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
4
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
0
2
L
16.12.25
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
KCCA
NEC
2
1
W
Last matches: Vipers
23.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
H2H: KCCA vs Vipers
29.04.26
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
07.11.25
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
1
0
L
16.02.25
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
0
2
L
09.11.24
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
15.03.24
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
0
1
W
10.11.23
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
3
1
W
05.05.23
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
1
0
L
22.10.22
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
0
W
16.04.22
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
2
L
05.12.21
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
2
2
D
09.05.21
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
2
L
17.03.21
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
1
0
L
18.02.20
H2H
Vipers
KCCA
0
0
D
16.11.19
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
0
W
04.04.19
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
Last matches: KCCA
23.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Mbarara City
4
1
W
07.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
3
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Kitara
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Express
3
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
2
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
KCCA
BUL
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
4
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
KCCA
NEC
2
1
W
21.11.25
Pre
KCCA
URA
2
1
W
31.10.25
Pre
KCCA
Calvary
4
2
W
16.10.25
Pre
KCCA
Lugazi
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
KCCA
SC Villa
2
1
W
H2H at home: KCCA
29.04.26
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
16.02.25
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
0
2
L
10.11.23
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
3
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
0
W
16.04.22
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
2
L
09.05.21
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
2
L
16.11.19
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
0
W
04.04.19
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
Last matches: Vipers
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
09.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
26.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
H2H away: Vipers
29.04.26
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
16.02.25
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
0
2
W
10.11.23
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
3
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
0
L
16.04.22
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
2
W
09.05.21
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
2
W
16.11.19
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
0
L
04.04.19
H2H
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2
KCCA Home
30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League