UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
MTN Omondi Stadium
KCCA
Match Timeline
Maroons
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
A. Mugume
KCCA
87'
H. Achayi
KCCA
90'
Ahimbisibwe Ivan
KCCA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
53.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
KCCA Win 68.9%
Draw 9.2%
Maroons Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
KCCA1.18
Maroons0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
KCCA KCCA
WWDLW
37 GF / 20 GA
Maroons Maroons
WLDWL
25 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
11
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KCCA KCCA 26 matches
Maroons Maroons 26 matches
KCCA Statistic Maroons
16 Wins 8
4 Draws 10
6 Losses 8
37 Goals For 25
20 Goals Against 21
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maroons having the stronger overall control. KCCA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 52 points compared to Maroons in 9 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maroons. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KCCA Analysis

KCCA arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 52 points after 26 matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 37:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ahimbisibwe Ivan (12 goals), S. Ssebaduka (6 goals), S. Mayanja (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Maroons Analysis

Maroons sit 9 with 34 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Mayanja (5 goals), I. Asaba (4 goals), R. Walugembe (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KCCA won 7 times, Maroons won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:8 from KCCA's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
H2H summary: KCCA wins 7, draws 6, Maroons wins 2
Last matches: KCCA
23.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Mbarara City
4
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
KCCA
URA
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
2
1
W
29.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Calvary
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Kitara
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
KCCA
SC Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Lugazi
3
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Express
3
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
18.02.26
Pre
KCCA
BUL
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
KCCA
NEC
1
3
L
30.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
4
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
0
2
L
16.12.25
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
KCCA
NEC
2
1
W
Last matches: Maroons
23.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Lugazi
1
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Vipers
0
3
L
12.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pre
Maroons
URA
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pre
Maroons
Police
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
Maroons
Mbarara City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Maroons
NEC
0
1
L
08.04.26
Pre
Maroons
BUL
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Maroons
UPDF
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Calvary
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Express
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
Maroons
SC Villa
0
2
L
12.02.26
Pre
Maroons
Kitara
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Mbarara City
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Maroons
KCCA
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Maroons
Express
4
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
Maroons
Kitara
0
2
L
H2H: KCCA vs Maroons
07.05.26
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
3
0
W
21.01.26
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
0
0
D
02.03.25
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
0
0
D
31.10.24
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
5
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
1
1
D
03.10.23
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
1
D
28.10.22
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
1
0
L
04.02.20
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
2
1
W
22.10.19
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
1
3
W
04.05.19
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
6
1
W
01.12.18
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
0
1
W
12.04.18
H2H
Maroons
KCCA
0
0
D
12.09.17
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
09.04.16
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
0
W
Last matches: KCCA
23.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Mbarara City
4
1
W
29.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Kitara
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Express
3
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
2
1
W
18.02.26
Pre
KCCA
BUL
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
4
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
KCCA
NEC
2
1
W
21.11.25
Pre
KCCA
URA
2
1
W
31.10.25
Pre
KCCA
Calvary
4
2
W
16.10.25
Pre
KCCA
Lugazi
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
KCCA
SC Villa
2
1
W
H2H at home: KCCA
07.05.26
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
3
0
W
31.10.24
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
5
0
W
03.10.23
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
1
D
04.02.20
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
2
1
W
04.05.19
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
6
1
W
12.09.17
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
09.04.16
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
0
W
Last matches: Maroons
23.05.26
Pre
Maroons
Lugazi
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
Maroons
URA
2
2
D
21.04.26
Pre
Maroons
Mbarara City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Maroons
NEC
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Calvary
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Maroons
Express
1
1
D
19.02.26
Pre
Maroons
SC Villa
0
2
L
27.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
Maroons
Buhimba Saints
0
1
L
12.12.25
Pre
Maroons
Kitara
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Maroons
Vipers
1
2
L
29.10.25
Pre
Maroons
Police
1
2
L
15.10.25
Pre
Maroons
UPDF
2
1
W
01.10.25
Pre
Maroons
BUL
0
1
L
H2H away: Maroons
07.05.26
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
3
0
L
31.10.24
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
5
0
L
03.10.23
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
2
W
01.04.23
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
1
D
04.02.20
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
2
1
L
04.05.19
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
6
1
L
12.09.17
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
09.04.16
H2H
KCCA
Maroons
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2
KCCA Home
30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League