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21.11.2026 13:00
RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu

Kayserispor vs Sarıyer Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kayserispor Win 72.1%
Draw 17.3%
Sarıyer Win 10.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kayserispor1.77
Sarıyer1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kayserispor Kayserispor
L W L D D
12 GF / 10 GA
Sarıyer Sarıyer
D L W L D
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
5
5.71
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kayserispor Kayserispor 18 matches
Sarıyer Sarıyer 15 matches
Kayserispor Statistic Sarıyer
10 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
38 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 19
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 5
8 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
5.71 Shots On Goal 3.79
15.07 Total Shots 11.36
4.5 Corners 3.71
57.3% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kayserispor's more proactive style and Sarıyer's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sarıyer. Kayserispor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 30 points compared to Sarıyer in 13 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kayserispor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sarıyer in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarıyer having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sarıyer arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kayserispor Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 14 outings, Kayserispor continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 33:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Seferi (10 goals), D. Moreno (10 goals), F. Hasani (5 goals), with creative support from G. Sağlam (4 assists), Mamadi Camará (3 assists), T. Seferi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sarıyer Analysis

Sarıyer sit 13 with 17 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 15:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Kör (2 goals), Marcos Silva (1 goals), E. Korkmazoğlu (1 goals), with creative support from C. Karayel (2 assists), Marcos Silva (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Kayserispor won 1 times, Sarıyer won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Kayserispor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 9 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Kayserispor 4-1-4-1 / Sarıyer 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kayserispor wins 1, draws 0, Sarıyer wins 0

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 30:12 18 32
D W W W W
2 14 9 3 2 33:11 22 30
L W D D W
3 14 8 4 2 19:11 8 28
D D W W D
4 14 7 4 3 19:13 6 25
D W W L W
5 14 7 3 4 27:24 3 24
D L W D W
6 14 6 5 3 26:18 8 23
W L L W D
7 14 5 6 3 18:13 5 21
W D W W W
8 14 6 2 6 20:21 -1 20
D D L W L
9 14 5 4 5 20:16 4 19
W L W L L
10 14 4 6 4 20:18 2 18
W W L W D
11 14 4 6 4 18:25 -7 18
L L W W L
12 13 4 5 4 16:12 4 17
W D W W
13 14 4 5 5 15:19 -4 17
D L L D L
14 14 5 3 6 17:23 -6 16
W W W L W
15 14 3 5 6 17:17 0 14
L L L L D
16 14 3 5 6 15:25 -10 14
L W D L L
17 14 3 4 7 21:24 -3 13
L W L L D
18 14 2 7 5 17:23 -6 13
L L L D D
19 14 2 2 10 12:33 -21 8
W L L L L
20 13 1 1 11 6:28 -22 4
L W L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation