TURKEY 1. LIG
14.09.2026 17:00
RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu
Referee: Turgut Doman, Türkiye
Kayserispor
Match Timeline
İstanbulspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
23'
Yusuf Ali Özer
Kayserispor
25'
T. Seferi
Kayserispor
VAR
31'
Semih Güler
Kayserispor
34'
D. Moreno · Assist: O. Caglayan
Kayserispor
🔄
39'
M. Dagasan ↔ V. Temel
İstanbulspor
44'
D. Moreno
Kayserispor
🔄
46'
A. Akman ↔ I. Iliev
İstanbulspor
🔄
46'
K. Sonmez ↔ E. Mendy
İstanbulspor
🔄
56'
M. Camara ↔ E. Kemaloglu
Kayserispor
🔄
56'
O. Caglayan ↔ F. Hasani
Kayserispor
🔄
66'
A. Cham ↔ E. Njie
İstanbulspor
🔄
73'
O. Duymaz ↔ B. Nizam
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
D. Moreno ↔ D. Radu
Kayserispor
🔄
81'
S. Guler ↔ K. Cihan
Kayserispor
🔄
81'
G. Saglam ↔ M. Akpinar
Kayserispor
83'
T. Seferi · Assist: M. Ucar
Kayserispor

Kayserispor vs İstanbulspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.9%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.9%
1.44
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.2%
1.28
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kayserispor Win 85.9%
Draw 7%
İstanbulspor Win 7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kayserispor1.84
İstanbulspor0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kayserispor Kayserispor
WWDLW
14 GF / 7 GA
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
WLDWL
6 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
3.83
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kayserispor Kayserispor 9 matches
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 8 matches
Kayserispor Statistic İstanbulspor
5 Wins 0
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
14 Goals For 6
7 Goals Against 18
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
4 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 4
3.83 Shots On Goal 3.83
12.83 Total Shots 10.83
4.67 Corners 3.5
52.2% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kayserispor's more proactive style and İstanbulspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring İstanbulspor. Kayserispor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 10 points compared to İstanbulspor in 19 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. İstanbulspor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kayserispor Analysis

Kayserispor come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 10 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 7:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on T. Seferi (4 goals), B. Keser (1 goals), F. Hasani (1 goals), with creative support from G. Sağlam (2 assists), B. Keser (1 assists), J. Tabidze (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

İstanbulspor Analysis

İstanbulspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 2 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alieu Cham (1 goals), with creative support from B. Nızam (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Kayserispor won 2 times, İstanbulspor won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Kayserispor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93%)
Predicted formations: Kayserispor 4-4-2 / İstanbulspor 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kayserispor wins 2, draws 1, İstanbulspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation