JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
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Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kawasaki Frontale Win 46.3%
Draw 13.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kawasaki Frontale1.42
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WWDLW
30 GF / 30 GA
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WLDWL
34 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
11
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
3.79
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 20 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Statistic Sanfrecce Hiroshima
8 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 7
30 Goals For 34
30 Goals Against 26
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
11 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 2
3.79 Shots On Goal 5.11
11.68 Total Shots 16.11
4.58 Corners 5.74
52.8% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima's more proactive style and Kawasaki Frontale's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kawasaki Frontale expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 28 points after 18 matches. The return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 26:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Erison (7 goals), Y. Wakizaka (5 goals), K. Mochiyama (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (4 assists), T. Ito (2 assists), Y. Yamamoto (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 30 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a 31:23 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Suzuki (5 goals), S. Nakamura (4 goals), K. Kinoshita (3 goals), with creative support from S. Higashi (7 assists), A. Suzuki (4 assists), H. Kawabe (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 7 times, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Kawasaki Frontale's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1 / Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kawasaki Frontale wins 7, draws 4, Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 4
Last matches: Kawasaki Frontale
30.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
24.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
17.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
0
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
0
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
1
W
12.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
2
L
05.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
3
2
W
28.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
5
L
18.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
1
L
01.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
0
0
D
08.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
5
3
W
16.01.26
Fri
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Ryukyu
6
1
W
Last matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
23.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
W
17.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
4
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
25.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
27.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
06.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
3
4
L
H2H: Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30.05.26
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
L
30.11.25
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
31.05.25
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
W
29.06.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
3
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
0
W
19.03.22
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
W
21.08.21
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
18.04.21
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
14.10.20
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
W
13.09.20
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
1
W
02.11.19
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
31.07.19
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
3
2
L
Last matches: Kawasaki Frontale
17.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
12.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
2
L
05.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
3
2
W
22.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
5
L
01.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
5
3
W
16.01.26
Fri
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Ryukyu
6
1
W
H2H at home: Kawasaki Frontale
30.11.25
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
29.06.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
11.06.23
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
0
W
18.04.21
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
13.09.20
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
1
W
02.11.19
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
Last matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
17.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
4
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
27.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
06.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
3
4
L
H2H away: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30.11.25
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W
29.06.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
11.06.23
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
L
10.09.22
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
0
L
18.04.21
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
13.09.20
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
1
L
02.11.19
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
W W W W W
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
W L W L W
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
L W W L W
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
W W W L W
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
W L W W W
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
L L W W W
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
W W L W L
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
W W W L L
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
L W L L L
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
W L L W L
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
L L W W W
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
L W W L W
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
W L L L L
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
L L W W W
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
W W W L L
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
W L L L L
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
L L L L W
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
L W L W L
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
L L L W L
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
L L W L W