JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Referee: Y. Araki
Kawasaki Frontale
Match Timeline
Machida Zelvia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Lazar Romanić
Kawasaki Frontale
40'
T. Yengi · Assist: H. Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
46'
G. Shoji ↔ Y. Nakayama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
62'
H. Shimoda ↔ N. Lavi
Machida Zelvia
🔄
62'
T. Yengi ↔ S. Fujio
Machida Zelvia
🔄
65'
T. Miyagi ↔ Marcinho
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
70'
Erik ↔ K. Sento
Machida Zelvia
🔄
72'
K. Tachibanada ↔ S. Kawahara
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
72'
T. Ito ↔ R. Osa
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
72'
L. Romanic ↔ K. Mochiyama
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
82'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ K. Hayashi
Machida Zelvia
VAR
87'
Reon Yamahara
Kawasaki Frontale
89'
Y. Wakizaka
Kawasaki Frontale
🟨
90+7'
Neta Lavi
Machida Zelvia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kawasaki Frontale Win 35.1%
Draw 15%
Machida Zelvia Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kawasaki Frontale1.38
Machida Zelvia1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WWDLW
25 GF / 26 GA
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 17 matches
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 17 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Statistic Machida Zelvia
7 Wins 7
3 Draws 7
7 Losses 3
25 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 21
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
8 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.75
10.94 Total Shots 11.75
4.56 Corners 4.25
51.8% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Machida Zelvia's more proactive style and Kawasaki Frontale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kawasaki Frontale expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Machida Zelvia in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Machida Zelvia having the stronger overall control. Machida Zelvia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Machida Zelvia. Machida Zelvia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 31 points while Kawasaki Frontale sit 6 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 23 points from 16 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 21:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Erison (7 goals), Y. Wakizaka (4 goals), L. Romanic (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (4 assists), Y. Yamamoto (2 assists), K. Tachibanada (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Machida Zelvia Analysis

Machida Zelvia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a 25:20 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Erik (6 goals), Y. Soma (4 goals), Na Sang-Ho (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Soma (2 assists), Na Sang-Ho (2 assists), T. Yengi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 2 times, Machida Zelvia won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Kawasaki Frontale's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1 / Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kawasaki Frontale wins 2, draws 3, Machida Zelvia wins 2
Stats
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
671 Total passes 371
588 Passes accurate 294
2.98 expected_goals 0.46
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale
Formation
Machida Zelvia
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi
R. Yamahara
R. Yamahara
A. Sasaki
A. Sasaki
Y. Maruyama
Y. Maruyama
S. Miura
S. Miura
K. Tachibanada
K. Tachibanada
Y. Yamamoto
Y. Yamamoto
T. Ito
T. Ito
Y. Wakizaka
Y. Wakizaka
T. Miyagi
T. Miyagi
L. Romanic
L. Romanic
K. Tani
K. Tani
G. Shoji
G. Shoji
D. Okamura
D. Okamura
I. Dresevic
I. Dresevic
H. Nakamura
H. Nakamura
H. Mae
H. Mae
H. Shimoda
🎯
H. Shimoda
F. Tokumura
F. Tokumura
Erik
Erik
Na Sang-Ho
Na Sang-Ho
T. Yengi
T. Yengi
Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi
G
29
R. Yamahara
D
5
A. Sasaki
D
28
Y. Maruyama
D
13
S. Miura
D
8
K. Tachibanada
↓ 72'
M
6
Y. Yamamoto
M
17
T. Ito
↓ 72'
M
14
Y. Wakizaka
⚽ 89'
M
24
T. Miyagi
↓ 65'
M
91
L. Romanic
↓ 72' 🟨 28'
F
Substitutes
49
S. Brodersen
G
22
F. Uremovic
D
19
S. Kawahara
↑ 72'
M
32
S. Hayashi
D
34
R. Osa
↑ 72'
M
23
Marcinho
↑ 65'
F
2
Y. Matsunagane
D
38
S. Kanda
F
20
K. Mochiyama
↑ 72'
F
Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Tani
G
3
G. Shoji
↓ 46'
D
50
D. Okamura
D
5
I. Dresevic
D
88
H. Nakamura
M
16
H. Mae
M
18
H. Shimoda
🎯 40' ↓ 62'
M
34
F. Tokumura
M
27
Erik
↓ 70'
F
10
Na Sang-Ho
↓ 82'
F
99
T. Yengi
⚽ 40' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Morita
G
23
R. Shirasaki
M
19
Y. Nakayama
↑ 46'
D
11
A. Masuyama
M
8
K. Sento
↑ 70'
M
2
T. Imai
D
31
N. Lavi
↑ 62' 🟨 90+7'
M
9
S. Fujio
↑ 62'
F
26
K. Hayashi
↑ 82'
D
Last matches: Kawasaki Frontale
16.07.26
Fri
Kawasaki Frontale
Vanraure Hachinohe
0
0
D
06.06.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
24.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
0
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
0
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
1
W
12.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
2
L
05.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
3
2
W
28.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
5
L
18.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
1
L
01.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
0
0
D
08.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
5
3
W
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
18.07.26
Fri
Machida Zelvia
Fujieda MYFC
2
1
W
06.06.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
22.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
0
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
21.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
06.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
W
H2H: Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia
17.05.26
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
28.03.26
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
5
3
W
06.04.25
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
05.10.24
H2H
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
1
4
W
07.04.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
31.01.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
0
3
L
Last matches: Kawasaki Frontale
16.07.26
Fri
Kawasaki Frontale
Vanraure Hachinohe
0
0
D
06.06.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
1
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
12.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
0
2
L
05.04.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Urawa
3
2
W
22.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
5
L
01.03.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol
5
3
W
16.01.26
Fri
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Ryukyu
6
1
W
H2H at home: Kawasaki Frontale
17.05.26
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
5
3
W
07.04.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
31.01.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
0
3
L
Last matches: Machida Zelvia
30.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
10.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
2
2
D
05.04.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
22.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2
2
D
06.02.26
J1
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
W
15.01.26
Fri
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
H2H away: Machida Zelvia
17.05.26
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
5
3
L
07.04.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
0
1
W
31.01.24
H2H
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
0
3
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)