LITHUANIA A LYGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kauno Žalgiris Win 76.8%
Draw 4.9%
Hegelmann Litauen Win 18.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kauno Žalgiris1.72
Hegelmann Litauen1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WWDLW
60 GF / 28 GA
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WLDWL
37 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.16
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
15
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
16
1.8
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 33 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 32 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Statistic Hegelmann Litauen
18 Wins 8
9 Draws 12
6 Losses 12
60 Goals For 37
28 Goals Against 50
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
15 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 28
20 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 9
1.8 Shots On Goal 0
5.4 Total Shots 0
1.4 Corners 0
12.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kauno Žalgiris's more proactive style and Hegelmann Litauen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kauno Žalgiris arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Hegelmann Litauen in 7 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hegelmann Litauen. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hegelmann Litauen having the stronger overall control. Hegelmann Litauen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 34 points from 20 games, Kauno Žalgiris bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 38:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen sit 7 with 22 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 25:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris won 9 times, Hegelmann Litauen won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:17 from Kauno Žalgiris's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1 / Hegelmann Litauen -
H2H summary: Kauno Žalgiris wins 9, draws 4, Hegelmann Litauen wins 2
Last matches: Kauno Žalgiris
04.08.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb
0
5
L
29.07.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
21.07.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
KI Klaksvik
0
0
D
18.07.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai
4
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
Drita
3
2
W
11.07.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys
3
0
W
07.07.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
Drita
1
1
D
03.07.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
20.06.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
17.06.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Banga
0
1
L
14.06.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
31.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
1
L
23.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
16.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai
0
0
D
10.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys
1
1
D
05.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
01.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Banga
2
2
D
25.04.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
FK Trakai
4
0
W
18.04.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
11.04.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
5
0
W
Last matches: Hegelmann Litauen
02.08.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
27.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
3
L
24.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Šiauliai
2
0
W
20.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Suduva Marijampole
1
5
L
16.07.26
UEF
Hegelmann Litauen
Paide
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Hegelmann Litauen
Paide
1
1
D
04.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys
1
1
D
28.06.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Banga
0
2
L
17.06.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
14.06.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
29.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
24.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
1
W
16.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Suduva Marijampole
2
2
D
09.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Šiauliai
1
1
D
06.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys
3
2
W
01.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Džiugas Telšiai
0
3
L
26.04.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Banga
1
2
L
17.04.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Trakai
0
0
D
11.04.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
0
5
L
04.04.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
1
W
H2H: Kauno Žalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen
14.06.26
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
11.04.26
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
5
0
W
01.10.25
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
27.08.25
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
19.06.25
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
W
16.04.25
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
3
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
0
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
12.11.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
2
W
29.10.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
19.04.23
H2H
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
3
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
3
2
W
Last matches: Kauno Žalgiris
29.07.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
18.07.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai
4
0
W
11.07.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys
3
0
W
07.07.26
UEF
Kauno Žalgiris
Drita
1
1
D
17.06.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Banga
0
1
L
31.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
1
L
16.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Šiauliai
0
0
D
05.05.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
25.04.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
FK Trakai
4
0
W
18.04.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
11.04.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
5
0
W
21.03.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
10.03.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys
4
0
W
28.02.26
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Banga
1
0
W
16.02.26
Sup
Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Kauno Žalgiris
Zimbru
2
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Kauno Žalgiris
Zhenys
1
2
L
08.11.25
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Banga
0
0
D
02.11.25
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys
3
2
W
22.10.25
A L
Kauno Žalgiris
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
H2H at home: Kauno Žalgiris
11.04.26
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
5
0
W
27.08.25
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
16.04.25
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
3
1
W
23.06.24
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
L
12.11.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
2
W
29.10.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
0
W
04.02.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
3
2
W
Last matches: Hegelmann Litauen
24.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Šiauliai
2
0
W
20.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Suduva Marijampole
1
5
L
16.07.26
UEF
Hegelmann Litauen
Paide
0
3
L
04.07.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys
1
1
D
28.06.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Banga
0
2
L
29.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
24.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
1
W
01.05.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Džiugas Telšiai
0
3
L
26.04.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Banga
1
2
L
11.04.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Kauno Žalgiris
0
5
L
14.03.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Suduva Marijampole
0
0
D
07.03.26
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
1
L
03.02.26
Fri
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
02.11.25
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
3
L
27.10.25
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Dainava
2
0
W
18.10.25
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
FK Trakai
0
2
L
21.09.25
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys
1
0
W
14.09.25
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Šiauliai
1
0
W
30.08.25
A L
Hegelmann Litauen
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
H2H away: Hegelmann Litauen
11.04.26
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
5
0
L
27.08.25
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
L
16.04.25
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
3
1
L
23.06.24
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
1
2
W
12.11.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
2
L
29.10.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
4
0
L
04.02.23
H2H
Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen
3
2
L

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 10 5 7 32:29 3 35
W W L L D
2 20 9 7 4 38:15 23 34
W W D W L
3 21 10 4 7 33:24 9 34
W W W D L
4 22 9 7 6 30:24 6 34
D L W D D
5 20 8 9 3 26:17 9 33
W D W W W
6 21 9 6 6 25:16 9 33
W L W W W
7 23 4 10 9 26:39 -13 22
L L W L D
8 21 5 5 11 19:38 -19 20
D L D L W
9 22 2 7 13 19:46 -27 13
L L L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L