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26.10.2026 16:45
Referee: M. Lukjancukas
Kauno Žalgiris
Match Timeline
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
56'
M. Vareika
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
60'
L. Krekovic ↔ Leo Ribeiro
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
66'
K. Upstas ↔ M. Setkus
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
66'
M. Vareika ↔ N. Mihajlovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
68'
N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
70'
A. Benchaib ↔ G. Sirgedas
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
70'
G. Debeljuh ↔ Renan Oliveira
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
73'
O. Verbickas ↔ N. Petkovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
75'
S. Bilenkyi
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
88'
A. Kalik ↔ M. Burba
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
90+1'
A. Hernandez
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
90+7'
M. Burba
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kauno Žalgiris Win 71.1%
Draw 11.4%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 17.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kauno Žalgiris1.62
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
L W L W L
6 GF / 11 GA
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
W W L L W
11 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.73
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
20
BTTS Yes
22
27
Over 2.5
29
2.6
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 47 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 44 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Statistic FK Zalgiris Vilnius
25 Wins 22
11 Draws 6
11 Losses 16
82 Goals For 76
46 Goals Against 64
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
20 BTTS Yes 22
34 Over 1.5 35
27 Over 2.5 29
15 Over 3.5 17
22 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 12
2.6 Shots On Goal 1
6.7 Total Shots 0
2.8 Corners 1.4
41.6% Ball Possession 17%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kauno Žalgiris come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Zalgiris Vilnius having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 51 points from 28 games, Kauno Žalgiris bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a 56:20 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 50 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a 49:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 times, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Kauno Žalgiris's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1 / FK Zalgiris Vilnius -
H2H summary: Kauno Žalgiris wins 7, draws 1, FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 7

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 16 10 6 62:25 37 58
L W D W W
2 32 15 11 6 43:32 11 56
W W L L D
3 32 16 6 10 51:36 15 54
W D W W L
4 32 15 7 10 52:40 12 52
W L W D W
5 32 11 9 12 35:34 1 42
L L D L W
6 32 11 9 12 43:48 -5 42
L L W D L
7 32 11 5 16 34:48 -14 38
L W L W L
8 32 4 14 14 33:58 -25 26
L L L D D
9 32 5 9 18 28:60 -32 24
W W D L D
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L