LITHUANIA A LYGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kauno Žalgiris Win 62.2%
Draw 9.2%
Džiugas Telšiai Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kauno Žalgiris1.51
Džiugas Telšiai1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WWDLW
65 GF / 34 GA
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai
WLDWL
45 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
17
BTTS Yes
17
22
Over 2.5
14
2.25
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 39 matches
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 34 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Statistic Džiugas Telšiai
20 Wins 12
11 Draws 12
8 Losses 10
65 Goals For 45
34 Goals Against 43
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
17 BTTS Yes 17
28 Over 1.5 24
22 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 10
18 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 9
2.25 Shots On Goal 0
3.38 Total Shots 0
2.38 Corners 0
22% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Džiugas Telšiai having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Džiugas Telšiai arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Džiugas Telšiai.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 38 points after 22 outings. The return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 41:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Džiugas Telšiai Analysis

With 37 points from 25 games and a place of 6, Džiugas Telšiai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats with a 34:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris won 9 times, Džiugas Telšiai won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:11 from Kauno Žalgiris's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1 / Džiugas Telšiai -
H2H summary: Kauno Žalgiris wins 9, draws 4, Džiugas Telšiai wins 2

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 25 10 8 7 29:22 7 38
D D W L W
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 25 7 5 13 23:41 -18 26
W L L W D
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L