NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Muhammadu Dikko Stadium
Katsina United
Match Timeline
Bayelsa United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
Katsina United
Katsina United
27'
Bayelsa United
Bayelsa United
45'
Katsina United
Katsina United
90'
Bayelsa United
Bayelsa United
90'
Katsina United
Katsina United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 60%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
60%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
79.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Katsina United Win 69.5%
Draw 21.8%
Bayelsa United Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Katsina United0.92
Bayelsa United0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Katsina United Katsina United
WWDLW
29 GF / 32 GA
Bayelsa United Bayelsa United
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
10
BTTS Yes
16
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Katsina United Katsina United 34 matches
Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 34 matches
Katsina United Statistic Bayelsa United
12 Wins 10
10 Draws 10
12 Losses 14
29 Goals For 30
32 Goals Against 35
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
10 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 21
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
13 Clean Sheets 7
15 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bayelsa United. Bayelsa United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bayelsa United having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Katsina United Analysis

Katsina United are currently 10 in the standings with 46 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, while the 29:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on U. Collins (10 goals), A. Falolu (3 goals), E. Akanni (3 goals), with creative support from S. Mubarak (2 assists), A. Falolu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bayelsa United Analysis

With 40 points from 34 games and a place of 17, Bayelsa United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 30:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Emo (4 goals), E. Ikoi (3 goals), M. Jawad (3 goals), with creative support from S. Loveday (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Katsina United won 1 times, Bayelsa United won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Katsina United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.3%)
H2H summary: Katsina United wins 1, draws 5, Bayelsa United wins 0

Lineups

Katsina United
Formation
Bayelsa United
Z. Abdullahi
Z. Abdullahi
I. Arigu
I. Arigu
I. Nasir
I. Nasir
A. Yallilo
A. Yallilo
Y. Mannase
Y. Mannase
U. Barau
U. Barau
C. Ezinwa
C. Ezinwa
S. Mubarak
S. Mubarak
J. Yusuf
J. Yusuf
U. Collins
U. Collins
S. Auwal
S. Auwal
E. Andy
E. Andy
I. Yusuf
I. Yusuf
U. Williams
U. Williams
A. Ogundare
A. Ogundare
K. Ihunwo
K. Ihunwo
M. Jawad
M. Jawad
A. Edwin
A. Edwin
E. Etunuya
E. Etunuya
S. Wisdom
S. Wisdom
K. Lawal
K. Lawal
K. Otunya
K. Otunya
Katsina United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Z. Abdullahi
12
I. Arigu
33
I. Nasir
2
A. Yallilo
5
Y. Mannase
4
U. Barau
6
C. Ezinwa
7
S. Mubarak
39
J. Yusuf
9
U. Collins
27
S. Auwal
Substitutes
13
S. Hamisu
31
S. Faisal
15
M. Adikwu
24
N. Kangiwa
14
E. Akanni
S. Yusuf
28
A. Dali
I. Muhd
Bayelsa United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
E. Andy
3
I. Yusuf
33
U. Williams
29
A. Ogundare
2
K. Ihunwo
14
M. Jawad
25
A. Edwin
26
E. Etunuya
7
S. Wisdom
20
K. Lawal
K. Otunya
Substitutes
16
K. Oladipo
23
S. Garba
5
G. Biriduba
4
S. Loveday
17
P. Ebimobowei
32
Nupe
28
A. Nasidi
Last matches: Katsina United
24.05.26
NPF
Katsina United
Rivers United
0
3
L
10.05.26
NPF
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
4
1
W
04.05.26
NPF
Katsina United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
12.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Enyimba
0
3
L
05.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Niger Tornadoes
1
0
W
29.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Barau FC
0
0
D
22.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
15.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
El Kanemi Warriors
1
1
D
08.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kwara United
1
2
L
01.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Remo Stars
0
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
09.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Wikki Tourist
4
4
D
01.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
28.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
24.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Plateau United
0
0
D
19.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Warri Wolves
0
2
L
15.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kun Khalifat FC
2
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Kun Khalifat FC
1
0
W
22.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Rivers United
1
1
D
Last matches: Bayelsa United
24.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
4
0
W
10.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Remo Stars
1
2
L
03.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
12.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Wikki Tourist
0
1
L
06.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
29.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kano Pillars
4
1
W
22.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Plateau United
0
1
L
15.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
08.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Rivers United
1
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Ikorodu City
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
08.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United
1
1
D
01.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enyimba
0
1
L
29.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Niger Tornadoes
0
0
D
25.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Barau FC
1
1
D
18.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Shooting Stars
2
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
28.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
0
2
L
H2H: Katsina United vs Bayelsa United
19.04.26
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
3
2
W
30.11.25
H2H
Bayelsa United
Katsina United
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
17.11.24
H2H
Bayelsa United
Katsina United
1
1
D
16.04.24
H2H
Bayelsa United
Katsina United
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
Last matches: Katsina United
10.05.26
NPF
Katsina United
Ikorodu City
4
1
W
05.04.26
NPF
Katsina United
Niger Tornadoes
1
0
W
22.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kwara United
1
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
01.02.26
NPF
Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
24.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Plateau United
0
0
D
15.01.26
NPF
Katsina United
Kun Khalifat FC
2
0
W
22.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Rivers United
1
1
D
08.12.25
NPF
Katsina United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
24.11.25
NPF
Katsina United
Enyimba
3
2
W
08.11.25
NPF
Katsina United
Barau FC
1
1
D
24.10.25
NPF
Katsina United
El Kanemi Warriors
1
0
W
12.10.25
NPF
Katsina United
Remo Stars
3
1
W
22.09.25
NPF
Katsina United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
07.09.25
NPF
Katsina United
Kano Pillars
1
0
W
24.08.25
NPF
Katsina United
Warri Wolves
0
1
L
H2H at home: Katsina United
19.04.26
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
3
2
W
06.04.25
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
Last matches: Bayelsa United
10.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Remo Stars
1
2
L
06.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
22.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Plateau United
0
1
L
08.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
22.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Ikorodu City
1
1
D
08.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United
1
1
D
01.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enyimba
0
1
L
25.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Barau FC
1
1
D
14.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
0
2
L
07.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enugu Rangers
1
4
L
23.11.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
09.11.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kano Pillars
0
0
D
26.10.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Warri Wolves
0
2
L
13.10.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Rivers United
2
1
W
27.09.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Bendel Insurance
1
1
D
07.09.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Niger Tornadoes
0
1
L
24.08.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
H2H away: Bayelsa United
19.04.26
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
3
2
L
06.04.25
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
26.11.23
H2H
Katsina United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation