JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Referee: D. Kos
Kashiwa Reysol
Match Timeline
JEF United Chiba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Y. Kakita · Assist: Y. Koizumi
Kashiwa Reysol
39'
Y. Koizumi · Assist: Y. Kakita
Kashiwa Reysol
45'
R. Kuboniwa
JEF United Chiba
🔄
60'
H. Yamauchi ↔ Y. Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
60'
Y. Kakita ↔ M. Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
66'
M. Himeno ↔ D. Ishikawa
JEF United Chiba
🔄
66'
H. Goya ↔ K. Tanaka
JEF United Chiba
🔄
66'
T. Mae ↔ T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
🟨
67'
Ryota Kuboniwa
JEF United Chiba
🔄
71'
R. Kuboniwa ↔ K. Toriumi
JEF United Chiba
75'
M. Hosoya · Assist: N. Nakagawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
79'
T. Kubo ↔ S. Baba
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
79'
Y. Koizumi ↔ K. Kumasaka
Kashiwa Reysol
85'
I. Takahashi · Assist: T. Tsukui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
86'
H. Mitsumaru ↔ Y. Yamanouchi
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
86'
Z. Issaka ↔ T. Matsumura
JEF United Chiba
🟨
87'
Eduardo
JEF United Chiba
89'
T. Koga
Kashiwa Reysol
🟨
90'
Takumi Matsumura
JEF United Chiba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kashiwa Reysol Win 65.4%
Draw 7.5%
JEF United Chiba Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashiwa Reysol1.28
JEF United Chiba1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WWDLW
19 GF / 23 GA
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WLDWL
17 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
9
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 18 matches
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 18 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Statistic JEF United Chiba
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
11 Losses 12
19 Goals For 17
23 Goals Against 29
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
6 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 7
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.82
12.59 Total Shots 11.12
5.29 Corners 4.82
56.6% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward JEF United Chiba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kashiwa Reysol expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and JEF United Chiba in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward JEF United Chiba having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol sit 8 with 17 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 18:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Segawa (4 goals), M. Hosoya (2 goals), Nobuteru Nakagawa (2 goals), with creative support from H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), T. Kubo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

JEF United Chiba Analysis

JEF United Chiba sit 10 with 12 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 16:30, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Hiroto Goya (3 goals), Carlinhos Junior (2 goals), D. Ishikawa (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Issaka (2 assists), N. Sugiyama (2 assists), Hiroto Goya (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 5 times, JEF United Chiba won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:8 from Kashiwa Reysol's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1 / JEF United Chiba 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kashiwa Reysol wins 5, draws 1, JEF United Chiba wins 2
Stats
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
610 Total passes 443
540 Passes accurate 367
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol
Formation
JEF United Chiba
R. Kojima
R. Kojima
W. Harada
W. Harada
T. Koga
T. Koga
D. Sugioka
D. Sugioka
T. Kubo
T. Kubo
Y. Konishi
Y. Konishi
N. Nakagawa
🎯
N. Nakagawa
H. Mitsumaru
H. Mitsumaru
Y. Koizumi
🎯
Y. Koizumi
H. Yamauchi
H. Yamauchi
Y. Kakita
🎯
Y. Kakita
J. Suarez
J. Suarez
I. Takahashi
I. Takahashi
R. Kuboniwa
R. Kuboniwa
T. Kawano
T. Kawano
M. Hidaka
M. Hidaka
Eduardo
Eduardo
T. Mae
T. Mae
Z. Issaka
Z. Issaka
M. Himeno
M. Himeno
T. Tsukui
🎯
T. Tsukui
H. Goya
H. Goya
Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
R. Kojima
G
42
W. Harada
D
4
T. Koga
⚽ 89'
D
26
D. Sugioka
D
24
T. Kubo
↓ 79'
M
21
Y. Konishi
M
39
N. Nakagawa
🎯 75'
M
2
H. Mitsumaru
↓ 86'
M
8
Y. Koizumi
⚽ 39' 🎯 35' ↓ 79'
F
87
H. Yamauchi
↓ 60'
F
18
Y. Kakita
⚽ 35' 🎯 39' ↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
29
K. Nagai
G
40
R. Harakawa
M
20
Y. Segawa
↑ 60'
M
88
S. Baba
↑ 79'
D
9
M. Hosoya
⚽ 75' ↑ 60'
F
14
T. Okubo
M
27
K. Kumasaka
↑ 79'
M
15
Y. Komi
F
32
Y. Yamanouchi
↑ 86'
D
JEF United Chiba 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
19
J. Suarez
G
2
I. Takahashi
⚽ 85'
D
3
R. Kuboniwa
⚽ 45' ↓ 71' 🟨 67'
D
28
T. Kawano
D
67
M. Hidaka
D
6
Eduardo
🟨 87'
M
15
T. Mae
↓ 66'
M
42
Z. Issaka
↓ 86'
M
37
M. Himeno
↓ 66'
M
8
T. Tsukui
🎯 85'
M
9
H. Goya
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
23
R. Suzuki
G
41
T. Yasui
M
24
K. Toriumi
↑ 71'
D
20
D. Ishikawa
↑ 66'
F
7
K. Tanaka
↑ 66'
F
27
T. Iwai
M
11
K. Yonekura
D
4
T. Taguchi
↑ 66'
M
30
T. Matsumura
↑ 86' 🟨 90'
F
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
06.06.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
6
2
W
16.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
1
L
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
Last matches: JEF United Chiba
06.06.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
30.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
17.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
0
2
L
10.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
0
2
L
06.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
3
0
W
02.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Urawa
0
2
L
29.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
25.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
18.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
11.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
22.03.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
1
2
L
18.03.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
2
L
07.03.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
27.02.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
15.02.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kawasaki Frontale
0
0
D
07.02.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Urawa
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
L
H2H: Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba
23.05.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2
W
07.03.26
H2H
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
09.02.25
H2H
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
W
18.02.24
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
20.10.19
H2H
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
W
22.06.19
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
20.08.14
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
06.06.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
15.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
H2H at home: Kashiwa Reysol
23.05.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2
W
31.01.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.02.24
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
22.06.19
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
20.08.14
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
Last matches: JEF United Chiba
30.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
06.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
3
0
W
02.05.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Urawa
0
2
L
25.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
18.04.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
22.03.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
2
L
27.02.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
JEF United Chiba
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
JEF United Chiba
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
L
H2H away: JEF United Chiba
23.05.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2
L
31.01.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
W
22.06.19
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
0
L
20.08.14
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)