JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Mercari Stadium
Referee: M. Ueda
Kashima
Match Timeline
Urawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
61'
Kai Shibato
Urawa
🔄
64'
K. Tagawa ↔ S. Morooka
Kashima
🔄
64'
Y. Matsumura ↔ H. Hayashu
Kashima
🟨
72'
Matheus Sávio
Urawa
🔄
73'
T. Kaneko ↔ R. Hidano
Urawa
🔄
73'
K. Yasui ↔ H. Ueki
Urawa
🔄
76'
G. Shibasaki ↔ K. Chinen
Kashima
81'
K. Nono
Kashima
🔄
84'
Matheus Savio ↔ H. Abe
Urawa
🔄
84'
R. Watanabe ↔ T. Sekine
Urawa
🔄
87'
K. Anzai ↔ R. Ogawa
Kashima
🔄
88'
Leo Ceara ↔ K. Tsukui
Kashima
🔄
90'
A. Onaiwu ↔ T. Teruuchi
Urawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Kashima Win 80.3%
Draw 4.7%
Urawa Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashima1.57
Urawa1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashima Kashima
WWDLW
22 GF / 8 GA
Urawa Urawa
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
5
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
5
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashima Kashima 12 matches
Urawa Urawa 12 matches
Kashima Statistic Urawa
9 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 4
22 Goals For 18
8 Goals Against 14
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
5 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
4.2 Shots On Goal 4.3
12.6 Total Shots 14
5.9 Corners 4.8
55.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kashima's more proactive style and Urawa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Urawa. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kashima expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Urawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Urawa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Kashima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 26 points compared to Urawa in 6 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Kashima come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kashima Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 26 points from 10 games, Kashima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 18:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Leo Ceara (6 goals), Yuma Suzuki (5 goals), A. Cavric (2 goals), with creative support from Yuma Suzuki (3 assists), G. Shibasaki (2 assists), Y. Higuchi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Urawa Analysis

Urawa sit 6 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Hidano (4 goals), R. Watanabe (2 goals), J. Hayakawa (1 goals), with creative support from Matheus Sávio (3 assists), J. Hayakawa (1 assists), K. Nemoto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kashima won 6 times, Urawa won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Kashima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Kashima 4-4-2 / Urawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kashima wins 6, draws 7, Urawa wins 2
Stats
Kashima Kashima
Urawa Urawa
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
490 Total passes 348
407 Passes accurate 272
1.39 expected_goals 1.06
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kashima
Formation
Urawa
T. Hayakawa
T. Hayakawa
K. Nono
K. Nono
N. Ueda
N. Ueda
Kim Tae-Hyeon
Kim Tae-Hyeon
K. Anzai
K. Anzai
Y. Matsumura
Y. Matsumura
G. Shibasaki
G. Shibasaki
K. Misao
K. Misao
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
Leo Ceara
Leo Ceara
K. Tagawa
K. Tagawa
S. Nishikawa
S. Nishikawa
H. Ishihara
H. Ishihara
Y. Miyamoto
Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto
K. Nemoto
Y. Naganuma
Y. Naganuma
K. Yasui
K. Yasui
K. Shibato
K. Shibato
T. Kaneko
T. Kaneko
R. Watanabe
R. Watanabe
Matheus Savio
Matheus Savio
A. Onaiwu
A. Onaiwu
Kashima 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Hayakawa
G
22
K. Nono
⚽ 81'
D
55
N. Ueda
D
3
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
2
K. Anzai
↓ 87'
D
27
Y. Matsumura
↓ 64'
M
10
G. Shibasaki
↓ 76'
M
6
K. Misao
M
40
Y. Suzuki
M
9
Leo Ceara
↓ 88'
F
11
K. Tagawa
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
29
Y. Kajikawa
G
77
A. Cavric
F
7
R. Ogawa
↑ 87'
D
13
K. Chinen
↑ 76'
M
14
Y. Higuchi
M
19
S. Morooka
↑ 64'
F
23
K. Tsukui
↑ 88'
D
71
R. Araki
M
24
H. Hayashu
↑ 64'
M
Urawa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Nishikawa
G
4
H. Ishihara
D
2
Y. Miyamoto
D
5
K. Nemoto
D
88
Y. Naganuma
D
25
K. Yasui
↓ 73'
M
22
K. Shibato
🟨 61'
M
77
T. Kaneko
↓ 73'
M
13
R. Watanabe
↓ 84'
M
8
Matheus Savio
↓ 84' 🟨 72'
M
45
A. Onaiwu
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Niekawa
G
7
H. Abe
↑ 84'
F
26
T. Ogiwara
D
27
T. Teruuchi
↑ 90'
F
9
I. Kiese
F
14
T. Sekine
↑ 84'
M
39
J. Hayakawa
M
36
R. Hidano
↑ 73'
F
37
H. Ueki
↑ 73'
M
Last matches: Kashima
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
30.05.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
0
5
L
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
07.02.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
3
3
D
Last matches: Urawa
06.06.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
31.05.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
22.05.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
09.05.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
4
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
12.04.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
18.03.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Urawa
Kashima
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Urawa
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
H2H: Kashima vs Urawa
18.04.26
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
2
3
W
20.09.25
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
0
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
0
0
D
22.06.24
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
2
2
D
28.10.23
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
0
0
D
04.06.23
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
0
0
D
03.09.22
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
2
2
D
21.05.22
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
1
1
D
07.11.21
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
03.04.21
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
2
1
L
29.11.20
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
4
0
W
12.07.20
H2H
Urawa
Kashima
1
0
L
01.11.19
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
Last matches: Kashima
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Kashima
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
H2H at home: Kashima
18.04.26
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
0
0
D
28.10.23
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
0
0
D
03.09.22
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
2
2
D
07.11.21
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
29.11.20
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
4
0
W
01.11.19
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
Last matches: Urawa
31.05.26
J1
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
22.05.26
J1
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Urawa
Mito Hollyhock
4
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Urawa
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
21.02.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Urawa
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
Urawa
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
H2H away: Urawa
18.04.26
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
0
0
D
28.10.23
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
0
0
D
03.09.22
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
2
2
D
07.11.21
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
L
29.11.20
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
4
0
L
01.11.19
H2H
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
L

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa Away
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)