JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
15.08.2026 09:00
Mercari Stadium
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
Kashima
Match Timeline
Nagoya Grampus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
Leo Ceara · Assist: Yan
Kashima
🟨
25'
Kento Misao
Kashima
🔄
43'
Yan ↔ Y. Matsumura
Kashima
🟨
45'
Yuma Suzuki
Kashima
🔄
46'
M. Yoshida ↔ H. Hayashu
Kashima
🔄
46'
Y. Nogami ↔ S. Tokumoto
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
46'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ Mateus
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
48'
Léo Ceará
Kashima
54'
N. Ueda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
69'
Matheus Bueno ↔ G. Shibasaki
Kashima
🔄
69'
Leo Ceara ↔ A. Cavric
Kashima
🔄
74'
R. Izumi ↔ Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
77'
Sho Inagaki
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
87'
Y. Kimura ↔ K. Nagai
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
88'
Y. Suzuki ↔ H. Tokuda
Kashima
🔄
88'
T. Hara ↔ Y. Sato
Nagoya Grampus
90'
T. Uchida
Kashima

Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kashima Win 88%
Draw 6%
Nagoya Grampus Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashima2.8
Nagoya Grampus1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashima Kashima
WWDLW
4 GF / 3 GA
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WLDWL
0 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
0
3
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashima Kashima 1 matches
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1 matches
Kashima Statistic Nagoya Grampus
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 0
3 Goals Against 1
4 Avg Goals Scored 0
3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 0
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 6
21 Total Shots 18
9 Corners 13
68% Ball Possession 75%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kashima won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Kashima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Kashima 4-4-2 / Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kashima wins 6, draws 4, Nagoya Grampus wins 5

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League