JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Mercari Stadium
Referee: J. Iida
Kashima
Match Timeline
Mito Hollyhock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
K. Tagawa ↔ S. Morooka
Kashima
🟨
19'
Tae-hyeon Kim
Kashima
🟥
30'
Takeshi Ushizawa
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
34'
T. Semba ↔ T. Iida
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
M. Arai ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
58'
S. Morooka · Assist: Kim Tae-Hyeon
Kashima
🔄
62'
T. Mase ↔ K. Sasaki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
68'
A. Cavric ↔ R. Araki
Kashima
🔄
69'
H. Hayashu ↔ Y. Suzuki
Kashima
71'
Leo Ceara · Assist: K. Anzai
Kashima
🔄
73'
R. Nemoto ↔ Patryck
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
73'
A. Watanabe ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
79'
Leo Ceara · Assist: Y. Suzuki
Kashima
🔄
82'
R. Koike ↔ K. Nono
Kashima
🔄
83'
K. Anzai ↔ R. Ogawa
Kashima

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kashima Win 85.2%
Draw 11.1%
Mito Hollyhock Win 3.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashima1.73
Mito Hollyhock1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashima Kashima
WWDLW
26 GF / 11 GA
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WLDWL
19 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.27
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
7
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashima Kashima 16 matches
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 15 matches
Kashima Statistic Mito Hollyhock
11 Wins 2
4 Draws 8
1 Losses 5
26 Goals For 19
11 Goals Against 28
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
7 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 3.71
12.14 Total Shots 11.86
5.64 Corners 4
56% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Kashima won 2 times, Mito Hollyhock won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Kashima's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Kashima 4-4-2 / Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
H2H summary: Kashima wins 2, draws 2, Mito Hollyhock wins 0
Stats
Kashima Kashima
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
580 Total passes 245
505 Passes accurate 170
2.78 expected_goals 0.28
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Kashima
Formation
Mito Hollyhock
T. Hayakawa
T. Hayakawa
R. Koike
R. Koike
N. Ueda
N. Ueda
Kim Tae-Hyeon
🎯
Kim Tae-Hyeon
K. Anzai
🎯
K. Anzai
A. Cavric
A. Cavric
Y. Higuchi
Y. Higuchi
K. Misao
K. Misao
H. Hayashu
H. Hayashu
K. Tagawa
K. Tagawa
Leo Ceara
⚽ 2
Leo Ceara
K. Nishikawa
K. Nishikawa
T. Mase
T. Mase
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
T. Ushizawa
T. Ushizawa
S. Omori
S. Omori
Matheus Leiria
Matheus Leiria
T. Semba
T. Semba
K. Osaki
K. Osaki
M. Arai
M. Arai
R. Nemoto
R. Nemoto
A. Watanabe
A. Watanabe
Kashima 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Hayakawa
G
25
R. Koike
↓ 82'
D
55
N. Ueda
D
3
Kim Tae-Hyeon
🎯 58' 🟨 19'
D
2
K. Anzai
🎯 71' ↓ 83'
D
77
A. Cavric
↓ 68'
M
14
Y. Higuchi
M
6
K. Misao
M
24
H. Hayashu
↓ 69'
M
11
K. Tagawa
↓ 13'
F
9
Leo Ceara
⚽ 71' ⚽ 79'
F
Substitutes
29
Y. Kajikawa
G
40
Y. Suzuki
🎯 79' ↑ 69'
F
7
R. Ogawa
↑ 83'
D
20
Y. Funabashi
M
19
S. Morooka
⚽ 58' ↑ 13'
F
23
K. Tsukui
D
27
Y. Matsumura
M
71
R. Araki
↑ 68'
M
22
K. Nono
↑ 82'
D
Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
K. Nishikawa
G
25
T. Mase
↓ 62'
D
17
K. Itakura
D
4
T. Ushizawa
🟥 30'
D
7
S. Omori
D
70
Matheus Leiria
M
19
T. Semba
↓ 34'
M
3
K. Osaki
M
14
M. Arai
↓ 46'
M
9
R. Nemoto
↓ 73'
F
10
A. Watanabe
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
21
S. Matsubara
G
6
T. Iida
↑ 34'
D
11
Y. Torikai
M
39
H. Yamamoto
↑ 46'
M
20
Patryck
↑ 73'
F
82
K. Kawakami
M
29
K. Tada
F
89
K. Sasaki
↑ 62'
D
33
K. Ando
↑ 73'
M
Last matches: Kashima
07.08.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
4
3
W
15.07.26
Fri
Kashima
Vegalta Sendai
5
0
W
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
30.05.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
0
5
L
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
18.04.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
08.08.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
H2H: Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock
06.05.26
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
14.10.15
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
0
0
D
Last matches: Kashima
15.07.26
Fri
Kashima
Vegalta Sendai
5
0
W
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Kashima
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
H2H at home: Kashima
06.05.26
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
10.02.24
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
14.10.15
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
0
0
D
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
08.08.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
24.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
2
5
L
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
H2H away: Mito Hollyhock
06.05.26
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
L
10.02.24
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
L
14.10.15
H2H
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
0
0
D

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)