Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kashima
15 matches
Machida Zelvia
13 matches
| Kashima | Statistic | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 25 | Goals For | 18 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.08 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 12.31 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 5.54 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 55.7% | Ball Possession | 43.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Machida Zelvia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Machida Zelvia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kashima expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Machida Zelvia in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Machida Zelvia having the stronger overall control.
Kashima approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 32 points after 13 outings. With 10 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Leo Ceara (6 goals), Yuma Suzuki (6 goals), A. Cavric (2 goals), with creative support from Yuma Suzuki (3 assists), Leo Ceara (2 assists), G. Shibasaki (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Machida Zelvia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 24 points after 12 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a 20:18 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Erik (5 goals), Y. Soma (4 goals), H. Mochizuki (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Soma (2 assists), Na Sang-Ho (1 assists), Y. Nakayama (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Kashima won 4 times, Machida Zelvia won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Kashima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.
Kashima
3
5
5
4
2
3
Lineups
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Urawa
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Urawa
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
Urawa
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
Fagiano Okayama
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
Urawa
Machida Zelvia
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
Home
|
18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 20 | 45 |
?
|
| 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Machida Zelvia
Away
|
18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 37 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 12 |
?
|