JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Mercari Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
1.71
BTTS Yes
75%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Kashima Win 61.7%
Draw 4.1%
Avispa Fukuoka Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashima2
Avispa Fukuoka1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashima Kashima
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WLDWL
3 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
1
5.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashima Kashima 2 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2 matches
Kashima Statistic Avispa Fukuoka
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
6 Goals For 3
4 Goals Against 1
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 0
2 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 4
18.5 Total Shots 12
6 Corners 3.5
58.5% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kashima won 6 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Kashima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Kashima 4-4-2 / Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kashima wins 6, draws 5, Avispa Fukuoka wins 4
Last matches: Kashima
15.08.26
J1
Kashima
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
07.08.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
4
3
W
15.07.26
Fri
Kashima
Vegalta Sendai
5
0
W
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
30.05.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
0
5
L
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
18.04.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
3
2
W
Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka
15.08.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
08.08.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
0
1
L
19.07.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Osaka
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Kitakyushu
1
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
2
D
25.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
22.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
19.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
15.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
1
5
L
H2H: Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka
24.01.26
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
3
3
D
16.08.25
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
3
2
W
06.05.25
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
03.04.24
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
1
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
0
0
D
19.04.23
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
2
1
L
05.04.23
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
14.08.22
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
11.06.22
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
W
04.06.22
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
1
0
L
06.04.22
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashima
0
1
W
11.09.21
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
3
L
Last matches: Kashima
15.08.26
J1
Kashima
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Kashima
Vegalta Sendai
5
0
W
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Kashima
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
H2H at home: Kashima
16.08.25
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
3
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
05.04.23
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
14.08.22
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
11.06.22
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
W
11.09.21
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
3
L
Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka
06.06.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
22.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
19.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
05.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
15.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
27.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
0
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Tokyo Verdy
4
3
W
H2H away: Avispa Fukuoka
16.08.25
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.08.25
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
3
2
L
19.10.24
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
05.04.23
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
0
D
14.08.22
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
L
11.06.22
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
1
L
11.09.21
H2H
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.55
Draw 3.61
Home 1.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.33
Draw 2.14
Home 2.37
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.58
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.11
Over 2.5 2.41
Over 3.5 4.65
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 1.75 2.45
Under 2.0 2.10
Under 2.25 1.78
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.20
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 3.30
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.05
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.32
Draw 3.52
Home 1.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.85
Draw 1.99
Home 2.32
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.33
Home 2.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.53
Over 2.0 1.72
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 2.75 2.68
Over 3.0 3.52
Over 3.25 3.84
Over 3.5 4.20
Over 3.75 5.29
Over 4.0 7.50
Over 4.5 8.10
Over 5.5 18.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.70
Under 0.75 6.10
Under 1.0 5.50
Under 1.25 3.28
Under 1.5 2.57
Under 1.75 2.29
Under 2.0 1.96
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.59
Under 2.75 1.39
Under 3.0 1.24
Under 3.25 1.19
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 3.75 1.09
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 3.25
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.02
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.35
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.0 1.11
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.53
Over 2.0 1.73
Over 2.25 2.02
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 2.75 2.75
Over 3.0 3.55
Over 3.25 3.90
Over 3.5 4.25
Over 3.75 5.30
Over 4.0 7.50
Under 0.5 6.25
Under 1.0 5.25
Under 1.25 3.35
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.94
Under 2.25 1.67
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 2.75 1.38
Under 3.0 1.24
Under 3.25 1.20
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.06

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 9:4 5 9
W W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:1 8 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
D W
6 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
7 3 1 1 1 5:7 -2 4
W D L
8 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
9 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
11 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
12 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
L L W
13 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
14 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
15 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
16 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
17 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
L D
18 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 4:8 -4 0
L L
20 3 0 0 3 0:9 -9 0
L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League