Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
54.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Karpaty
29 matches
Zorya Luhansk
29 matches
| Karpaty | Statistic | Zorya Luhansk |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 39 | Goals For | 40 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 2.78 | Shots On Goal | 2.65 |
| 7.37 | Total Shots | 7.54 |
| 2.44 | Corners | 3.19 |
| 28.8% | Ball Possession | 31.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karpaty expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zorya Luhansk in 4-1-2-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zorya Luhansk having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zorya Luhansk. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 29 matches, Karpaty have collected 41 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, while the 39:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruninho (7 goals), Igor Krasnopir (6 goals), Yan Kostenko (5 goals), with creative support from Igor Krasnopir (4 assists), Denys Miroshnichenko (4 assists), Bruninho (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 29 matches, Zorya Luhansk have collected 43 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 40:35 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Budkivsky (12 goals), N. Andjusic (7 goals), Roman Vantukh (4 goals), with creative support from A. Slesar (4 assists), Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior (4 assists), N. Andjusic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 0 times, Zorya Luhansk won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Karpaty's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Lineups
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Karpaty
Bravo
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Karpaty
Oleksandria
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
Karpaty
SK Poltava
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
Zorya Luhansk
Göztepe
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
Zorya Luhansk
Konyaspor
Zorya Luhansk
Slovácko
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
Oleksandria
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
Karpaty
Kudrivka
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
Karpaty
Stjarnan
Karpaty
Gais
Karpaty
IFK Varnamo
Karpaty
Odense
Karpaty
Real Murcia II
Karpaty
Daejeon Citizen
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
Slovácko
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
Zorya Luhansk
Rapid Wien II
Zorya Luhansk
Lokomotiv Sofia
Zorya Luhansk
Miedz Legnica
Zorya Luhansk
Radnik Surdulica
Zorya Luhansk
LNZ Cherkasy
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 71:21 | 50 | 72 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 39:17 | 22 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 51:21 | 30 | 59 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:36 | 30 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53:46 | 7 | 48 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Zorya Luhansk
Away
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 9 |
Karpaty
Home
|
30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 31 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 20:51 | -31 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23:74 | -51 | 13 |
D
L
L
L
D
|