Karpaty
Match Timeline
Yarud Mariupol'
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
66.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
89.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 61.6%
Draw 9.6%
Yarud Mariupol' Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.31
Yarud Mariupol'1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Yarud Mariupol'
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Karpaty
7 matches
Yarud Mariupol'
3 matches
| Karpaty | Statistic | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 5 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 3 times, Yarud Mariupol' won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Karpaty's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 3, draws 2, Yarud Mariupol' wins 0
Lineups
Karpaty
Formation
Yarud Mariupol'
R. Mysak
V. Baboglo
R. Lyakh
V. Kholod
O. Sych
Eriki
A. Chachua
L. Yano
Y. Kostenko
X. Alkain
Y. Karabin
A. Zadereyko
O. Chornomorets
Trialist A
Trialist B
V. Yanchak
V. Sydorenko
V. Kucherov
A. Kukharuk
P. Orikhovskyi
O. Synytsya
A. Remenyak
Karpaty
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
80
R. Mysak
4
V. Baboglo
73
R. Lyakh
44
V. Kholod
77
O. Sych
18
Eriki
8
A. Chachua
21
L. Yano
26
Y. Kostenko
70
X. Alkain
19
Y. Karabin
Substitutes
A. Zhylkin
47
Jean Pedroso
55
T. Stetskov
⚽ 69'
V. Tsymbalistyi
11
D. Miroshnichenko
20
M. Sapuga
14
I. Kvasnytsya
56
V. Reznik
33
A. Shakh
5
A. Buleza
16
I. Chaban
28
O. Dyedov
Yarud Mariupol'
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
55
A. Zadereyko
5
O. Chornomorets
4
Trialist A
25
Trialist B
17
V. Yanchak
16
V. Sydorenko
27
V. Kucherov
8
A. Kukharuk
10
P. Orikhovskyi
96
O. Synytsya
29
A. Remenyak
Substitutes
12
S. Oryshchak
77
R. Kovalyuk
15
R. Revakovych
39
D. Balan
84
A. Kusyi
66
O. Melnyk
2
R. Gagun
14
N. Grytsak
Trialist D
Trialist E
Trialist F
Trialist C
9
S. Kyslenko
⚽ 53'
Last matches: Karpaty
18.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Bravo
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
SK Poltava
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pre
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
Last matches: Yarud Mariupol'
27.06.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Nyva Ternopil
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
H2H: Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol'
02.07.26
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
1
1
D
11.05.24
H2H
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
1
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
0
W
Last matches: Karpaty
18.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Stjarnan
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Gais
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
IFK Varnamo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Odense
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Real Murcia II
3
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Daejeon Citizen
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
0
0
D
19.10.25
Pre
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
3
L
H2H at home: Karpaty
02.07.26
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
1
W
27.08.22
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
0
W
Last matches: Yarud Mariupol'
27.06.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Nyva Ternopil
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
H2H away: Yarud Mariupol'
02.07.26
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
1
L
27.08.22
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
0
L