Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
66.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
89.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 61.6%
Draw 9.6%
Yarud Mariupol' Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.37
Yarud Mariupol'1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Yarud Mariupol'
WLDWL
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
2
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Karpaty
7 matches
Yarud Mariupol'
2 matches
| Karpaty | Statistic | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 4 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 3 times, Yarud Mariupol' won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from Karpaty's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-3-3 / Yarud Mariupol' -
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 3, draws 1, Yarud Mariupol' wins 0
Last matches: Karpaty
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
SK Poltava
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pre
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Stjarnan
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Gais
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
IFK Varnamo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Odense
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Real Murcia II
3
0
W
Last matches: Yarud Mariupol'
04.03.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Nyva Ternopil
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
H2H: Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol'
11.05.24
H2H
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
1
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Yarud Mariupol'
Karpaty
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
0
W
Last matches: Karpaty
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Stjarnan
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Gais
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
IFK Varnamo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Odense
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Real Murcia II
3
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Daejeon Citizen
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
0
0
D
19.10.25
Pre
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
3
L
27.09.25
Pre
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
3
3
D
14.09.25
Pre
Karpaty
SK Poltava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Karpaty
06.04.24
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
1
W
27.08.22
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
0
W
Last matches: Yarud Mariupol'
04.03.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Nyva Ternopil
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
Yarud Mariupol'
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
H2H away: Yarud Mariupol'
06.04.24
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
1
L
27.08.22
H2H
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
3
0
L