UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 15:00
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: S. Zadyran
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Veres Rivne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Y. Karabin ↔ Bruninho
Karpaty
🔄
46'
V. Boyko ↔ D. Checher
Veres Rivne
🔄
46'
G. de Jesus Lima ↔ A. Goncalves
Veres Rivne
54'
V. Baboglo · Assist: D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
61'
M. Protasevych ↔ M. Smiyan
Veres Rivne
🔄
61'
S. Sten ↔ D. Murashko
Veres Rivne
🟨
63'
Eriki
Karpaty
🔄
69'
Eriki ↔ Edson Fernando
Karpaty
70'
V. Baboglo · Assist: D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
74'
R. Lyakh ↔ O. Sych
Karpaty
🔄
74'
V. Rubchynskyi ↔ I. Kvasnytsya
Karpaty
🔄
80'
V. Sharay ↔ D. Matkivskyi
Veres Rivne
🟨
88'
Xeber Alkain
Karpaty
🟨
88'
Konstantinos Stamoulis
Veres Rivne
🔄
89'
X. Alkain ↔ O. Dyedov
Karpaty

Karpaty vs Veres Rivne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
51.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 70.1%
Draw 0%
Veres Rivne Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.32
Veres Rivne0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
WWDLW
37 GF / 29 GA
Veres Rivne Veres Rivne
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
10
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
10
2.88
Shots on Goal
1.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 28 matches
Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 28 matches
Karpaty Statistic Veres Rivne
9 Wins 7
11 Draws 10
8 Losses 11
37 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 37
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
10 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 14
2.88 Shots On Goal 1.44
7.65 Total Shots 5.2
2.54 Corners 2.56
29.9% Ball Possession 20.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Karpaty's more proactive style and Veres Rivne's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karpaty expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Veres Rivne in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Veres Rivne having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Veres Rivne. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Karpaty Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Karpaty have collected 37 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 35:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruninho (7 goals), Igor Krasnopir (6 goals), Yan Kostenko (5 goals), with creative support from Bruninho (3 assists), Igor Krasnopir (3 assists), Jean Pedroso (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Veres Rivne Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Veres Rivne have collected 31 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 25:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Denys Ndukve (5 goals), Vitaliy Boyko (5 goals), Vladyslav Sharay (4 goals), with creative support from E. Aydin (3 assists), Wesley Pomba (3 assists), Vitaliy Boyko (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 6 times, Veres Rivne won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:11 from Karpaty's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-3-3 / Veres Rivne 4-4-2
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 6, draws 4, Veres Rivne wins 1

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga