UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 15:00
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
N. Rusyn · Assist: I. Calero
Karpaty
🟨
22'
Moha Moukhliss
Karpaty
25'
Luca Meirelles
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
34'
Valerii Bondar
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
55'
Newerton Palmares
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
59'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ J. Sery
Karpaty
🔄
64'
Luca Meirelles ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
64'
Y. Nazaryna ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
64'
Newerton ↔ G. Mendoza
Shakhtar Donetsk
67'
Alisson · Assist: Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
70'
Alisson ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
79'
R. Vantukh ↔ D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
79'
I. Calero ↔ B. Iglesias Lois
Karpaty
🔄
79'
N. Rusyn ↔ Joaquinete
Karpaty
🟨
81'
Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
88'
X. Alkain ↔ Y. Karabin
Karpaty
🔄
90+2'
Marlon ↔ D. Kryskiv
Shakhtar Donetsk

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds 4.51
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
4.51
BTTS No
50.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.96
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.31
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00
Correct Score 3-0
-
51.00
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 57%
Draw 6.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.41
Shakhtar Donetsk1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
WWDLW
33 GF / 15 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
30 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
9
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 18 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 14 matches
Karpaty Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
33 Goals For 30
15 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
9 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 0 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:45 from Karpaty's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-2-3-1 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 0, draws 3, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 14:5 9 15
W W W L W
2 6 5 0 1 12:4 8 15
W W L W W
3 6 4 1 1 14:4 10 13
W L D W W
4 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
W D L W W
5 5 3 0 2 10:4 6 9
W W L L W
6 6 2 2 2 6:5 1 8
L D W D L
7 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
W D L W L
8 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
D D L W L
9 6 1 4 1 4:4 0 7
D D W L D
10 5 1 2 2 3:4 -1 5
D W D L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
D L D W L
12 5 0 4 1 2:3 -1 4
L D D D D
13 5 1 1 3 2:6 -4 4
L D W L L
14 6 0 3 3 1:11 -10 3
L L D D D
15 5 0 2 3 3:8 -5 2
L D D L L
16 5 0 2 3 2:13 -11 2
L L D D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga