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05.09.2026 15:00
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
N. Rusyn · Assist: I. Calero
Karpaty
🟨
22'
Moha Moukhliss
Karpaty
⚽
25'
Luca Meirelles
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
34'
Valerii Bondar
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
55'
Newerton Palmares
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
59'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ J. Sery
Karpaty
🔄
64'
Luca Meirelles ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
64'
Y. Nazaryna ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
64'
Newerton ↔ G. Mendoza
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
67'
Alisson · Assist: Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
70'
Alisson ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
79'
R. Vantukh ↔ D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
79'
I. Calero ↔ B. Iglesias Lois
Karpaty
🔄
79'
N. Rusyn ↔ Joaquinete
Karpaty
🟨
81'
Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
88'
X. Alkain ↔ Y. Karabin
Karpaty
🔄
90+2'
Marlon Gomes ↔ D. Kryskiv
Shakhtar Donetsk

Karpaty vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 57%
Draw 6.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.41
Shakhtar Donetsk1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
D W W W W
16 GF / 3 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
L W W W D
8 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
9
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
7
3
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 18 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 14 matches
Karpaty Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
9 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
33 Goals For 30
15 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
9 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 6
6.5 Total Shots 13
6.75 Corners 4.25
56.3% Ball Possession 63.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 0 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:45 from Karpaty's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-2-3-1 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 0, draws 3, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 22:5 17 28
W D W W W
2 10 8 1 1 23:8 15 25
W W D W W
3 10 7 1 2 16:9 7 22
W W L W W
4 9 7 0 2 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
5 11 5 4 2 22:8 14 19
W D D L D
6 11 5 3 3 13:13 0 18
W D W W L
7 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
D W W L W
8 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L W W L
9 10 2 3 5 8:12 -4 9
W D L L D
10 11 2 3 6 10:15 -5 9
L L D L L
11 10 1 6 3 7:12 -5 9
D L D L
12 11 2 3 6 7:16 -9 9
L L L L W
13 9 1 5 3 6:8 -2 8
D L L W
14 10 1 4 5 4:17 -13 7
L L W D
15 9 1 3 5 7:15 -8 6
L D L L
16 11 1 2 8 11:29 -18 5
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga