UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: A. Mykhailiuk
Karpaty
Match Timeline
Bukovyna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Fellipe Vieira · Assist: Moha Moukhliss
Karpaty
8'
N. Rusyn · Assist: Fellipe Vieira
Karpaty
🟨
49'
V. Vitenchuk
Bukovyna
🔄
57'
O. Kozhushko ↔ M. Voytikhovskiy
Bukovyna
🟨
59'
A. Busko
Bukovyna
🔄
59'
Fellipe Vieira ↔ R. Vantukh
Karpaty
🔄
59'
N. Rusyn ↔ B. Iglesias Lois
Karpaty
64'
Y. Kostenko · Assist: R. Vantukh
Karpaty
🔄
75'
O. Ilyin ↔ V. Dakhnovskyi
Bukovyna
🔄
75'
E. Odinaka ↔ Y. Pidlepenets
Bukovyna
🔄
77'
Moha Moukhliss ↔ Jean Pedroso
Karpaty
🔄
77'
X. Alkain ↔ D. Miroshnichenko
Karpaty
🔄
81'
V. Tankovskiy ↔ F. Babak
Bukovyna
🔄
84'
Y. Kostenko ↔ Y. Karabin
Karpaty
🟨
90+1'
I. Calero
Karpaty

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.8%
1.69
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.28
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Karpaty Win 54.8%
Draw 13.3%
Bukovyna Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karpaty1.52
Bukovyna1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karpaty Karpaty
WWDLW
29 GF / 14 GA
Bukovyna Bukovyna
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty Karpaty 16 matches
Bukovyna Bukovyna 11 matches
Karpaty Statistic Bukovyna
8 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 1
29 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 12
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 6 times, Bukovyna won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Karpaty's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-3-3 / Bukovyna -
H2H summary: Karpaty wins 6, draws 0, Bukovyna wins 4

Lineups

Karpaty
Formation
Bukovyna
D. Marchenko
D. Marchenko
I. Calero
I. Calero
V. Baboglo
V. Baboglo
T. Stetskov
T. Stetskov
R. Lyakh
R. Lyakh
Moha Moukhliss
🎯
Moha Moukhliss
X. Alkain
X. Alkain
A. Chachua
A. Chachua
Fellipe Vieira
🎯
Fellipe Vieira
N. Rusyn
N. Rusyn
Y. Kostenko
Y. Kostenko
G. Penkov
G. Penkov
I. Putrya
I. Putrya
A. Busko
A. Busko
M. Bezuglyy
M. Bezuglyy
P. Stasyuk
P. Stasyuk
V. Vitenchuk
V. Vitenchuk
E. Odinaka
E. Odinaka
V. Grusha
V. Grusha
V. Tankovskiy
V. Tankovskiy
O. Ilyin
O. Ilyin
O. Kozhushko
O. Kozhushko
Karpaty 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Marchenko
14
I. Calero
🟨 90+1'
4
V. Baboglo
55
T. Stetskov
73
R. Lyakh
10
Moha Moukhliss
🎯 5' ↓ 77'
70
X. Alkain
↓ 77'
8
A. Chachua
7
Fellipe Vieira
⚽ 5' 🎯 8' ↓ 59'
31
N. Rusyn
⚽ 8' ↓ 59'
26
Y. Kostenko
⚽ 64' ↓ 84'
Substitutes
80
R. Mysak
36
A. Zhylkin
5
A. Buleza
47
Jean Pedroso
↑ 77'
11
D. Miroshnichenko
↑ 77'
17
R. Vantukh
🎯 64' ↑ 59'
21
B. Iglesias Lois
↑ 59'
19
Y. Karabin
↑ 84'
56
V. Reznik
20
M. Sapuga
28
O. Dyedov
Bukovyna 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
94
G. Penkov
22
I. Putrya
24
A. Busko
🟨 59'
3
M. Bezuglyy
95
P. Stasyuk
44
V. Vitenchuk
🟨 49'
18
E. Odinaka
↓ 75'
25
V. Grusha
6
V. Tankovskiy
↓ 81'
97
O. Ilyin
↓ 75'
7
O. Kozhushko
↓ 57'
Substitutes
30
D. Kanevtsev
1
A. Matsyuk
79
R. Hazazian
5
V. Pryimak
69
E. Romanets
78
M. Yakhontov
17
F. Babak
↑ 81'
11
V. Dakhnovskyi
↑ 75'
12
Y. Pidlepenets
↑ 75'
13
M. Voytikhovskiy
↑ 57'
Last matches: Karpaty
10.08.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
3
0
W
01.08.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
5
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Bravo
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
FC Kharkiv
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kryvbas KR
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
SK Poltava
4
0
W
Last matches: Bukovyna
08.08.26
Pre
Bukovyna
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
03.08.26
Pre
Bukovyna
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Nyiregyhaza
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Kisvarda FC
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Metal Kharkiv
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Zemplín Michalovce
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
10.03.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Probiy Horodenka
4
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Bukovyna
SK Poltava
1
0
W
H2H: Karpaty vs Bukovyna
15.08.26
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
3
0
W
18.09.25
H2H
Bukovyna
Karpaty
1
0
L
14.07.24
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
2
3
L
08.10.23
H2H
Bukovyna
Karpaty
0
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
2
1
W
30.10.22
H2H
Bukovyna
Karpaty
1
2
W
11.09.22
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
4
0
W
09.04.22
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
0
0
D
11.09.21
H2H
Bukovyna
Karpaty
1
2
W
30.05.21
H2H
Bukovyna
Karpaty
1
0
L
13.11.20
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
0
3
L
Last matches: Karpaty
10.08.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
5
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Nyva Ternopil
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Karpaty
Yarud Mariupol'
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Karpaty
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Karpaty
Oleksandria
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kudrivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Stjarnan
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Karpaty
Gais
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
IFK Varnamo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Odense
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Real Murcia II
3
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Karpaty
Daejeon Citizen
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Karpaty
FC Kharkiv
1
2
L
H2H at home: Karpaty
15.08.26
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
3
0
W
14.07.24
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
2
3
L
06.08.23
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
2
1
W
11.09.22
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
4
0
W
09.04.22
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
0
0
D
13.11.20
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
0
3
L
Last matches: Bukovyna
18.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Nyiregyhaza
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Kisvarda FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Zemplín Michalovce
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
H2H away: Bukovyna
15.08.26
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
3
0
L
14.07.24
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
2
3
W
06.08.23
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
2
1
L
11.09.22
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
4
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
0
0
D
13.11.20
H2H
Karpaty
Bukovyna
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.69
Draw 3.45
Away 5.08
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.27
Draw 2.11
Away 5.66
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Under 1.5 2.78
Over 1.75 1.51
Under 1.75 2.44
Over 2.0 1.70
Under 2.0 2.11
Over 2.25 2.01
Under 2.25 1.80
Over 2.5 2.28
Under 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 2.66
Under 2.75 1.44
Over 3.0 3.43
Under 3.0 1.28
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.62
Draw 3.40
Away 4.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.25
Draw 2.10
Away 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.05
Draw 2.38
Away 5.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Under 1.5 2.75
Over 2.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 3.5 1.22
Over 0.5 1.07
Under 0.5 7.50
Over 4.5 7.50
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.73
Draw 3.63
Away 5.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.31
Draw 2.11
Away 5.97
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.16
Draw 2.37
Away 4.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.41
Under 1.5 2.80
Over 1.75 1.51
Under 1.75 2.46
Over 2.0 1.70
Under 2.0 2.15
Over 2.25 1.96
Under 2.25 1.79
Over 2.5 2.23
Under 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 2.63
Under 2.75 1.46
Over 3.5 4.09
Under 3.5 1.21
Over 0.5 1.08
Under 0.5 6.77
Over 0.75 1.08
Under 0.75 6.70
Over 1.0 1.10
Under 1.0 6.12
Over 1.25 1.26
Under 1.25 3.69
Over 3.0 3.35
Under 3.0 1.30
Over 4.5 7.75
Under 4.5 1.06
Over 3.25 3.71
Under 3.25 1.25
Over 3.75 5.15
Under 3.75 1.15
Over 4.0 7.15
Under 4.0 1.08
Over 4.25 7.42
Under 4.25 1.07
Over 4.75 9.45
Under 4.75 1.03
Over 5.0 12.10
Under 5.0 1.01
Over 5.5 23.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Over 5.25 25.00
Under 5.25 1.01
Over 6.5 14.20
Under 6.5 1.00
Over 5.75 13.20
Over 0.25 1.02
Under 0.25 10.40