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25.10.2026 15:00
Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Referee: Nikolas Liotatis, Cyprus
Karmiotissa
Match Timeline
Apollon Limassol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
B. Thomas
Apollon Limassol
🔄
19'
G. Rodrigues ↔ J. Asoro
Apollon Limassol
⚽
26'
A. Ozbolt
Apollon Limassol
🟨
29'
Giorgos Malekkidis
Apollon Limassol
🔄
46'
J. Pawirodihardjo ↔ T. Kyprou
Karmiotissa
🔄
46'
A. Argyriou ↔ R. Garcia
Karmiotissa
🟨
54'
Xhuljo Tabaku
Karmiotissa
⚽
57'
B. Thomas
Apollon Limassol
🔄
59'
D. A. Reynolds ↔ J. Smaira
Karmiotissa
🔄
63'
I. Ljubic ↔ N. Zinonos
Apollon Limassol
🔄
63'
A. Ozbolt ↔ I. Ugbo
Apollon Limassol
🟨
64'
Dani Escriche
Apollon Limassol
🔄
68'
N. Ouammou ↔ S. Panagiotou
Karmiotissa
⚽
73'
J. Asoro
Apollon Limassol
🔄
74'
Patrick Luan ↔ T. Themistokleous
Karmiotissa
🔄
77'
J. Kvida ↔ C. Goldson
Apollon Limassol
🔄
77'
B. Gaspar ↔ A. Shikkis
Apollon Limassol
⚽
81'
B. Thomas
Apollon Limassol
🟥
86'
Jad Smaira
Karmiotissa

Karmiotissa vs Apollon Limassol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Karmiotissa Win 6.8%
Draw 6.8%
Apollon Limassol Win 86.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karmiotissa1.11
Apollon Limassol2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karmiotissa Karmiotissa
L L D D D
4 GF / 8 GA
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
W W L D D
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
10
1.5
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karmiotissa Karmiotissa 7 matches
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 14 matches
Karmiotissa Statistic Apollon Limassol
1 Wins 8
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
8 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 15
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 3
1.5 Shots On Goal 1.5
2.83 Total Shots 0.9
1 Corners 1.9
10.7% Ball Possession 7.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Apollon Limassol's more proactive style and Karmiotissa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Apollon Limassol. Apollon Limassol carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 12 points while Karmiotissa sit 14 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Karmiotissa expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Apollon Limassol in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Apollon Limassol having the stronger overall control.

Karmiotissa Analysis

Karmiotissa sit 14 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 4:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Apollon Limassol Analysis

Apollon Limassol approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 12 points after 6 outings. The return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 14:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Karmiotissa won 3 times, Apollon Limassol won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:32 from Karmiotissa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Karmiotissa 4-3-2-1 / Apollon Limassol 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Karmiotissa wins 3, draws 4, Apollon Limassol wins 7

Standings

1-division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:7 8 17
D W D W W
2 8 4 4 0 21:10 11 16
D W W W D
3 8 4 3 1 15:6 9 15
W L D W W
4 8 4 3 1 12:10 2 15
W W D W D
5 8 5 0 3 11:13 -2 15
L L W W W
6 8 4 2 2 18:10 8 14
W W D W D
7 8 3 4 1 9:5 4 13
D D D W L
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L W L L
9 8 1 3 4 5:16 -11 6
W L L L D
10 8 2 0 6 7:15 -8 6
L W L L L
11 8 1 3 4 5:10 -5 6
L L L L D
12 8 0 6 2 11:13 -2 6
L D D L D
13 8 1 2 5 11:16 -5 5
L D L L W
14 8 1 2 5 8:17 -9 5
D D W L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)