SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Kristinebergs IP
Karlberg
Match Timeline
Piteå
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
N. Vainio · Assist: H. Fernandez
Karlberg
21'
M. Mitku · Assist: F. Nieminen Eriksson
Karlberg
🟨
42'
I. Wikstrom
Piteå
46'
A. Muyenga · Assist: L. Jordan
Piteå
🔄
60'
I. Wikstrom ↔ J. Johnson
Piteå
🔄
65'
M. Mitku ↔ A. Jamshidi
Karlberg
🟨
66'
F. Nilsson
Karlberg
🟨
69'
F. Eriksson
Piteå
70'
A. Jamshidi
Karlberg
🔄
75'
N. Vainio ↔ V. Hall
Karlberg
🔄
75'
H. Bergstrom ↔ C. Berglund
Piteå
🔄
81'
C. Mujaguzi ↔ T. Berntzen
Piteå
🟨
90+3'
V. Hall
Karlberg
🔄
90'
F. Nilsson ↔ A. Backman
Karlberg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Karlberg Win 40.2%
Draw 18.6%
Piteå Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlberg1.98
Piteå1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karlberg Karlberg
WWDLW
44 GF / 37 GA
Piteå Piteå
WLDWL
27 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
16
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karlberg Karlberg 22 matches
Piteå Piteå 20 matches
Karlberg Statistic Piteå
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
9 Losses 10
44 Goals For 27
37 Goals Against 39
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
16 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Piteå. Karlberg have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piteå having the stronger overall control.

Karlberg Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 11, Karlberg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 16:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through O. Jemal (6 goals), N. Negash (2 goals), R. Othman (2 goals), with creative support from O. Jemal (1 assists), H. Fernandez (1 assists), F. Nilsson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå sit 16 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 13:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Ingemarson (2 goals), F. Johansson (2 goals), J. Lundback (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kavur (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Karlberg won 2 times, Piteå won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Karlberg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
H2H summary: Karlberg wins 2, draws 1, Piteå wins 0

Lineups

Karlberg
Formation
Piteå
E. Bojang
E. Bojang
V. Steen
V. Steen
N. Geiger
N. Geiger
H. Fernandez
🎯
H. Fernandez
N. Negash
N. Negash
M. Mitku
M. Mitku
R. Sundgren
R. Sundgren
N. Vainio
N. Vainio
F. Nilsson
F. Nilsson
L. Sietsema
L. Sietsema
F. Nieminen Eriksson
🎯
F. Nieminen Eriksson
F. Eriksson
F. Eriksson
H. Millbert
H. Millbert
B. Kavur
B. Kavur
S. Jamehdar
S. Jamehdar
A. Muyenga
A. Muyenga
F. Johansson
F. Johansson
C. Mujaguzi
C. Mujaguzi
I. Wikstrom
I. Wikstrom
H. Bergstrom
H. Bergstrom
A. Ingemarson
A. Ingemarson
L. Jordan
🎯
L. Jordan
Karlberg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
E. Bojang
3
V. Steen
5
N. Geiger
7
H. Fernandez
🎯 6'
8
N. Negash
11
M. Mitku
⚽ 21' ↓ 65'
13
R. Sundgren
16
N. Vainio
⚽ 6' ↓ 75'
21
F. Nilsson
↓ 90' 🟨 66'
24
L. Sietsema
2
F. Nieminen Eriksson
🎯 21'
Substitutes
1
A. Gkoulios
4
A. Backman
↑ 90'
9
A. Jamshidi
⚽ 70' ↑ 65'
14
A. Fati
15
V. Hall
↑ 75' 🟨 90+3'
25
F. Hogberg
27
A. Erlandsson
Piteå 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
F. Eriksson
🟨 69'
2
H. Millbert
5
B. Kavur
6
S. Jamehdar
7
A. Muyenga
⚽ 46'
10
F. Johansson
11
C. Mujaguzi
↓ 81'
19
I. Wikstrom
↓ 60' 🟨 42'
21
H. Bergstrom
↓ 75'
24
A. Ingemarson
28
L. Jordan
🎯 46'
Substitutes
99
L. Svard
8
C. Berglund
↑ 75'
17
T. Berntzen
↑ 81'
18
J. Johnson
↑ 60'
22
O. Lundmark
23
L. Lindgren
Last matches: Karlberg
18.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Nyköping
7
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Arlanda
3
2
W
Last matches: Piteå
21.06.26
Ett
Piteå
AFC Eskilstuna
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
2
L
07.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Enköping
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stockholm Internazionale
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Sollentuna
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stocksund
3
2
W
14.05.26
Ett
Piteå
FBK Karlstad
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Arlanda
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Järfälla
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Hammarby Talang
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ett
Piteå
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Stocksund
2
1
W
15.03.26
Fri
Piteå
IFK Umeå
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Piteå
IFK Luleå
4
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
4
L
15.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Skellefteå
2
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Rops
1
1
D
H2H: Karlberg vs Piteå
24.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
3
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Piteå
Karlberg
1
1
D
07.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
1
0
W
Last matches: Karlberg
14.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Nyköping
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Arlanda
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
3
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
2
D
H2H at home: Karlberg
24.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
3
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
1
0
W
Last matches: Piteå
12.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Sollentuna
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stocksund
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Järfälla
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ett
Piteå
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Stocksund
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
4
L
H2H away: Piteå
24.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
3
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Piteå
1
0
L

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 38:11 27 32
W D W W L
2 14 9 3 2 22:9 13 30
L D W W D
3 14 8 5 1 23:10 13 29
W W W W L
4 14 8 3 3 28:14 14 27
W W W W D
5 14 8 1 5 24:23 1 25
L W D W L
6 14 7 3 4 23:20 3 24
L W L L D
7 14 5 4 5 23:24 -1 19
W D W W W
8 14 5 3 6 23:23 0 18
W W L L D
9 14 4 4 6 20:24 -4 16
L L W D D
10 14 4 3 7 21:27 -6 15
W D L L L
11 14 4 3 7 20:30 -10 15
L L D L W
12 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
W D L L W
13 14 4 2 8 17:29 -12 14
W L L L W
14 14 2 7 5 12:19 -7 13
L L D D D
15 14 2 3 9 16:32 -16 9
L D L L D
16 14 1 5 8 28:36 -8 8
L L D W D