SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadshagens IP
Karlberg
Match Timeline
Hammarby Talang
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
A. Jemal ↔ L. Sietsema
Karlberg
🟨
12'
N. Ek
Hammarby Talang
🟨
47'
H. Aslund
Karlberg
🔄
66'
M. Darboe ↔ W. Gibson
Hammarby Talang
🔄
72'
N. Geiger ↔ A. Jamshidi
Karlberg
🔄
72'
M. Mitku ↔ N. Vainio
Karlberg
🔄
79'
D. Ponce ↔ L. Krasniqi
Hammarby Talang
86'
N. Ek
Hammarby Talang
🔄
88'
F. Nieminen Eriksson ↔ F. Hogberg
Karlberg
🔄
90+7'
A. Johansson ↔ S. Moses
Hammarby Talang
🔄
90+7'
W. Tervonen ↔ A. Lohake
Hammarby Talang
90'
W. Gibson
Hammarby Talang

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.6%
1.62
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Karlberg Win 19.8%
Draw 3.6%
Hammarby Talang Win 76.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlberg1.68
Hammarby Talang2.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karlberg Karlberg
WWDLW
40 GF / 35 GA
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WLDWL
36 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
16
BTTS Yes
8
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karlberg Karlberg 20 matches
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 16 matches
Karlberg Statistic Hammarby Talang
8 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 4
40 Goals For 36
35 Goals Against 19
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
16 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hammarby Talang's more proactive style and Karlberg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hammarby Talang carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 25 points while Karlberg sit 10 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Hammarby Talang. Hammarby Talang look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hammarby Talang having the stronger overall control.

Karlberg Analysis

With 12 points from 11 games and a place of 10, Karlberg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 16:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Hammarby Talang approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 25 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 28:10 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Karlberg won 2 times, Hammarby Talang won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Karlberg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
H2H summary: Karlberg wins 2, draws 3, Hammarby Talang wins 1

Lineups

Karlberg
Formation
Hammarby Talang
F. Nieminen Eriksson
F. Nieminen Eriksson
V. Steen
V. Steen
N. Geiger
N. Geiger
H. Fernandez
H. Fernandez
N. Negash
N. Negash
M. Mitku
M. Mitku
R. Sundgren
R. Sundgren
H. Aslund
H. Aslund
A. Rupia-Ellis
A. Rupia-Ellis
A. Jemal
A. Jemal
E. Bojang
E. Bojang
E. Opancar
E. Opancar
J. Lindahl
J. Lindahl
C. Eklund
C. Eklund
O. Moczarny
O. Moczarny
W. Tervonen
W. Tervonen
K. Marrah
K. Marrah
A. Johansson
A. Johansson
N. Ek
N. Ek
W. Loqvist
W. Loqvist
M. Darboe
M. Darboe
D. Ponce
D. Ponce
Karlberg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
2
F. Nieminen Eriksson
↓ 88'
3
V. Steen
5
N. Geiger
↓ 72'
7
H. Fernandez
8
N. Negash
11
M. Mitku
↓ 72'
13
R. Sundgren
17
H. Aslund
🟨 47'
18
A. Rupia-Ellis
19
A. Jemal
↓ 11'
35
E. Bojang
Substitutes
1
L. Okungbowa
9
A. Jamshidi
↑ 72'
15
V. Hall
16
N. Vainio
↑ 72'
21
F. Nilsson
24
L. Sietsema
↑ 11'
25
F. Hogberg
↑ 88'
Hammarby Talang 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Opancar
3
J. Lindahl
4
C. Eklund
7
O. Moczarny
8
W. Tervonen
↓ 90+7'
10
K. Marrah
11
A. Johansson
↓ 90+7'
23
N. Ek
⚽ 86' 🟨 12'
24
W. Loqvist
25
M. Darboe
↓ 66'
26
D. Ponce
↓ 79'
Substitutes
35
G. Nyberg
6
S. Moses
↑ 90+7'
13
L. Krasniqi
↑ 79'
15
W. Gibson
⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
20
A. Lohake
↑ 90+7'
21
J. Oreland
28
I. Musa
Last matches: Karlberg
18.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
0
W
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Nyköping
7
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Arlanda
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
3
1
W
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
18.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Järfälla
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Gefle IF
4
0
W
30.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Enköping
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stockholm Internazionale
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Sollentuna
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Assyriska FF
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
IF Karlstad
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stocksund
4
2
W
06.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Umeå FC
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
GIF Sundsvall
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Orebro SK
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Viggbyholms IK
5
0
W
H2H: Karlberg vs Hammarby Talang
14.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
22.03.26
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
3
W
20.10.25
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
1
1
D
23.05.25
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
11.08.24
H2H
Hammarby Talang
Karlberg
0
1
W
21.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
Last matches: Karlberg
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Nyköping
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Arlanda
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
3
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stocksund
2
2
D
H2H at home: Karlberg
14.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
23.05.25
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
Last matches: Hammarby Talang
06.06.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Gefle IF
4
0
W
23.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Enköping
1
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Sollentuna
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
IF Karlstad
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Piteå
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ett
Hammarby Talang
Stocksund
4
2
W
28.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
GIF Sundsvall
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Orebro SK
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Hammarby Talang
Vasalund
1
1
D
H2H away: Hammarby Talang
14.06.26
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
W
23.05.25
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.24
Draw 4.15
Away 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.36
Under 2.25 2.96
Over 2.5 1.48
Under 2.5 2.52
Over 2.75 1.58
Under 2.75 2.26
Over 3.5 2.22
Under 3.5 1.62
Over 3.0 1.76
Under 3.0 2.02
Over 3.25 2.01
Under 3.25 1.79
Over 3.75 2.53
Under 3.75 1.47
Over 4.0 3.11
Under 4.0 1.33
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.20
Draw 3.90
Away 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.50
Draw 2.50
Away 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.00
Draw 2.75
Away 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Under 1.5 4.50
Over 2.5 1.53
Under 2.5 2.38
Over 3.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.57
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 10.50
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 4.00
Under 4.5 1.22
Over 7.5 15.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 7.00
Under 5.5 1.08
Over 6.5 10.00
Under 6.5 1.03
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 4.26
Draw 3.95
Away 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.50
Draw 2.39
Away 2.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 4.22
Draw 2.84
Away 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Under 1.5 5.00
Over 1.75 1.13
Under 1.75 4.60
Over 2.0 1.16
Under 2.0 4.15
Over 2.25 1.30
Under 2.25 2.97
Over 2.5 1.44
Under 2.5 2.43
Over 2.75 1.55
Under 2.75 2.17
Over 3.5 2.19
Under 3.5 1.60
Over 0.5 1.01
Under 0.5 14.70
Over 1.0 1.01
Under 1.0 11.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 3.0 1.71
Under 3.0 1.92
Over 4.5 3.58
Under 4.5 1.21
Over 3.25 1.96
Under 3.25 1.75
Over 3.75 2.46
Under 3.75 1.43
Over 4.0 2.97
Under 4.0 1.30
Over 4.25 3.28
Under 4.25 1.25
Over 4.75 4.44
Under 4.75 1.14
Over 5.0 5.95
Under 5.0 1.07
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 6.55
Under 5.5 1.05
Over 5.25 6.25
Under 5.25 1.06
Over 6.5 10.50
Under 6.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 3.90
Draw 3.75
Away 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 4.00
Draw 2.48
Away 2.16
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 3.75
Draw 2.85
Away 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Under 1.5 4.75
Over 2.5 1.44
Under 2.5 2.48
Over 3.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.58
Over 4.5 3.50
Under 4.5 1.23
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 31:11 20 29
D W W L W
2 12 9 2 1 20:6 14 29
W W D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:10 12 26
W W W L D
4 13 7 3 3 26:14 12 24
W W W D W
5 13 7 3 3 23:13 10 24
W L L D D
6 12 7 1 4 21:20 1 22
D W L L W
7 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
W D D L D
8 13 4 3 6 20:22 -2 15
W L L D L
9 12 4 3 5 17:21 -4 15
W W W L D
10 13 4 3 6 19:27 -8 15
L D L W W
11 13 2 7 4 11:15 -4 13
L D D D D
12 13 3 3 7 18:26 -8 12
D L L L W
13 13 3 2 8 15:28 -13 11
L L L W L
14 12 2 4 6 17:26 -9 10
L L W D D
15 13 1 5 7 27:34 -7 8
L D W D D
16 12 2 2 8 13:27 -14 8
L L D D W