SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
12.09.2026 11:00
Stadshagens IP
Karlberg
Match Timeline
Arlanda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
20'
E. Johansson
Arlanda
🔄
26'
A. Saeed ↔ I. Giordano Eriksson
Arlanda
51'
A. Jemal
Karlberg
🟨
54'
Y. Yemane
Arlanda
🟨
64'
H. Aslund
Karlberg
🔄
70'
L. Kleist ↔ J. Carlsson
Arlanda
🔄
75'
H. Fernandez ↔ A. Fati
Karlberg
🔄
75'
H. Aslund ↔ M. Jansson
Karlberg
🔄
86'
M. Mitku ↔ A. Backman
Karlberg
🔄
86'
F. Nieminen Eriksson ↔ V. Hall
Karlberg
🔄
86'
L. Sietsema ↔ F. Nilsson
Karlberg
🟨
88'
A. Backman
Karlberg

Karlberg vs Arlanda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.6%
2.40
BTTS Yes
75%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Karlberg Win 35.9%
Draw 16.5%
Arlanda Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlberg1.67
Arlanda1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karlberg Karlberg
WWDLW
56 GF / 48 GA
Arlanda Arlanda
WLDWL
52 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
20
BTTS Yes
19
22
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karlberg Karlberg 31 matches
Arlanda Arlanda 28 matches
Karlberg Statistic Arlanda
14 Wins 12
5 Draws 9
12 Losses 7
56 Goals For 52
48 Goals Against 41
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
20 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 20
22 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arlanda's more proactive style and Karlberg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Arlanda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 36 points while Karlberg sit 9 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arlanda. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arlanda having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Karlberg Analysis

Karlberg sit 9 with 25 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 28:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arlanda Analysis

Arlanda come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 36 points from 19 matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 33:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Karlberg won 6 times, Arlanda won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:8 from Karlberg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
H2H summary: Karlberg wins 6, draws 1, Arlanda wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L