ICELAND 2. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.2%
1.60
BTTS Yes
86%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Kári Win 86.2%
Draw 6.9%
Thróttur Vogar Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kári2.32
Thróttur Vogar1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kári Kári
WWDLW
48 GF / 29 GA
Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar
WLDWL
30 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.53
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
2
16
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kári Kári 19 matches
Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar 19 matches
Kári Statistic Thróttur Vogar
8 Wins 6
9 Draws 1
2 Losses 12
48 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 38
2.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 2
16 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 13
14 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kári's more proactive style and Thróttur Vogar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thróttur Vogar having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Thróttur Vogar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Thróttur Vogar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kári arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Thróttur Vogar in 10 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Kári Analysis

Kári arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 30 points after 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 47:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Thróttur Vogar Analysis

Thróttur Vogar sit 10 with 19 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 29:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Kári won 4 times, Thróttur Vogar won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Kári's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.1%)
H2H summary: Kári wins 4, draws 2, Thróttur Vogar wins 5
Last matches: Kári
23.08.26
2.
Kári
Fjolnir
1
0
W
19.08.26
2.
Kári
Selfoss
2
2
D
15.08.26
2.
Kári
Vikingur Olafsiik
4
1
W
08.08.26
2.
Kári
Dalvík / Reynir
1
1
D
29.07.26
2.
Kári
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
24.07.26
2.
Kári
Hvíti riddarinn
3
1
W
17.07.26
2.
Kári
KFG
5
1
W
12.07.26
2.
Kári
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
2
D
01.07.26
2.
Kári
Haukar
1
4
L
27.06.26
2.
Kári
Magni
1
1
D
19.06.26
2.
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
4
1
W
15.06.26
2.
Kári
Fjolnir
2
2
D
10.06.26
2.
Kári
Selfoss
2
2
D
06.06.26
2.
Kári
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
3
D
31.05.26
2.
Kári
Dalvík / Reynir
6
0
W
23.05.26
2.
Kári
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
4
L
15.05.26
2.
Kári
Hvíti riddarinn
0
0
D
09.05.26
2.
Kári
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
4
2
W
02.05.26
2.
Kári
KFG
5
1
W
Last matches: Thróttur Vogar
23.08.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
3
L
19.08.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Vikingur Olafsiik
1
2
L
15.08.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Dalvík / Reynir
2
0
W
09.08.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kormákur / Hvöt
0
2
L
29.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Hvíti riddarinn
3
1
W
25.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
4
L
17.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Haukar
1
2
L
12.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
1
W
04.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Magni
3
4
L
26.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjolnir
3
2
W
19.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
4
L
15.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
3
L
10.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Vikingur Olafsiik
1
2
L
06.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Dalvík / Reynir
0
1
L
31.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
23.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Hvíti riddarinn
0
2
L
14.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
0
W
09.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
3
L
01.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Haukar
2
1
W
H2H: Kári vs Thróttur Vogar
19.06.26
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
4
W
20.07.25
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
0
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
1
2
L
03.09.21
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
0
5
L
30.06.21
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
4
1
L
19.08.20
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
1
2
L
27.06.20
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
1
D
18.07.19
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
3
4
L
10.05.19
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
1
D
10.08.18
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
24.05.18
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
0
2
W
Last matches: Kári
23.08.26
2.
Kári
Fjolnir
1
0
W
15.08.26
2.
Kári
Vikingur Olafsiik
4
1
W
29.07.26
2.
Kári
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
12.07.26
2.
Kári
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
2
D
27.06.26
2.
Kári
Magni
1
1
D
10.06.26
2.
Kári
Selfoss
2
2
D
31.05.26
2.
Kári
Dalvík / Reynir
6
0
W
15.05.26
2.
Kári
Hvíti riddarinn
0
0
D
02.05.26
2.
Kári
KFG
5
1
W
H2H at home: Kári
03.05.25
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
1
2
L
03.09.21
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
0
5
L
19.08.20
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
1
2
L
18.07.19
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
3
4
L
10.08.18
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
Last matches: Thróttur Vogar
19.08.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Vikingur Olafsiik
1
2
L
09.08.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kormákur / Hvöt
0
2
L
25.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
4
L
17.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Haukar
1
2
L
04.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Magni
3
4
L
15.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
3
L
06.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Dalvík / Reynir
0
1
L
23.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Hvíti riddarinn
0
2
L
09.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
3
L
H2H away: Thróttur Vogar
03.05.25
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
1
2
W
03.09.21
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
0
5
W
19.08.20
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
1
2
W
18.07.19
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
3
4
W
10.08.18
H2H
Kári
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 4.33
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.75
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.30
Under 2.5 3.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.57
Draw 4.25
Home 1.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.76
Draw 2.65
Home 2.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 3.12
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.05
Over 2.0 1.04
Over 2.5 1.22
Over 2.75 1.26
Over 3.0 1.32
Over 3.25 1.50
Over 3.5 1.65
Over 3.75 1.80
Over 4.0 1.98
Over 4.25 2.19
Over 4.5 2.41
Over 4.75 2.78
Over 5.0 3.42
Over 5.5 4.50
Under 0.5 36.00
Under 1.5 8.50
Under 2.0 6.85
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 2.75 3.20
Under 3.0 2.88
Under 3.25 2.39
Under 3.5 2.08
Under 3.75 1.88
Under 4.0 1.67
Under 4.25 1.54
Under 4.5 1.45
Under 4.75 1.34
Under 5.0 1.23
Under 5.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 4.20
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.80
Home 2.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.20
Over 3.5 1.54
Over 4.5 2.23
Over 5.5 3.40
Under 2.5 3.75
Under 3.5 2.20
Under 4.5 1.53
Under 5.5 1.24