FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Markku.fi Areena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 82.2%
Draw 8.9%
SJK Akatemia Win 8.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.27
SJK Akatemia0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
19 GF / 23 GA
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WLDWL
6 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
0.4
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
9
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 16 matches
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 15 matches
KäPa Statistic SJK Akatemia
6 Wins 1
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 10
19 Goals For 6
23 Goals Against 21
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 0.4
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
9 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SJK Akatemia. KäPa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 15 points compared to SJK Akatemia in 10 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SJK Akatemia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KäPa Analysis

With 15 points from 12 games and a place of 8, KäPa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 14:17 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 6 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 4:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 1 times, SJK Akatemia won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:32 from KäPa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.1%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 1, draws 5, SJK Akatemia wins 6
Last matches: KäPa
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
11.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
1
D
03.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
PK-35
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
H2H: KäPa vs SJK Akatemia
10.04.26
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
22.02.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
0
0
D
19.09.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
18.06.25
H2H
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
5
3
L
27.04.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
0
3
L
12.04.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
4
L
13.08.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
0
L
20.07.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
4
0
L
23.05.24
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
15.07.23
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
4
4
D
06.05.23
H2H
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
5
3
L
Last matches: KäPa
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
H2H at home: KäPa
10.04.26
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
19.09.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
0
3
L
12.04.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
4
L
23.05.24
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
15.07.23
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
4
4
D
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
03.07.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
H2H away: SJK Akatemia
10.04.26
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
19.09.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
3
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
0
3
W
12.04.25
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
4
W
23.05.24
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
15.07.23
H2H
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
4
4
D

Standings

Ykkosliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 25:14 11 32
W D W W L
2 14 9 3 2 24:8 16 30
W W W W D
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 14 6 1 7 13:23 -10 19
L W L L W
6 13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8
KäPa Home
13 4 3 6 15:20 -5 15
L W L L W
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen