FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
11.09.2026 16:00
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KäPa vs PK-35 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.5%
1.79
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.12
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 16.1%
Draw 3.4%
PK-35 Win 80.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa0.95
PK-351.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
27 GF / 40 GA
PK-35 PK-35
WLDWL
46 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
15
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 25 matches
PK-35 PK-35 29 matches
KäPa Statistic PK-35
6 Wins 15
6 Draws 8
13 Losses 6
27 Goals For 46
40 Goals Against 22
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around PK-35's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. PK-35 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 44 points while KäPa sit 9 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PK-35 having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors PK-35. KäPa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 17 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats with a 21:35 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

PK-35 Analysis

PK-35 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 44 points after 21 outings. With 13 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 37:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 1 times, PK-35 won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:19 from KäPa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 1, draws 4, PK-35 wins 7

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 38:21 17 51
W W W W W
2
PK-35 Away
22 13 6 3 37:14 23 45
D W W D W
3 22 12 4 6 41:24 17 40
L L W W W
4 22 10 7 5 29:19 10 37
L W W L L
5 22 10 2 10 21:31 -10 32
W D L L W
6 22 8 3 11 26:33 -7 27
D L L W W
7 22 7 3 12 24:33 -9 24
W L L L L
8 22 4 8 10 27:31 -4 20
D W W D L
9
KäPa Home
22 4 6 12 23:37 -14 18
D D L L L
10 22 2 6 14 13:36 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen