FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
21.07.2026 16:00
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: A. Sugulle
KäPa
Match Timeline
Klubi-04
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
29'
D. Ripatti ↔ H. Toivonen
KäPa
29'
D. Olorunfem · Assist: A. Haikala
Klubi-04
37'
D. Olorunfem · Assist: I. Toivonen
Klubi-04
🔄
48'
D. Olorunfem ↔ Q. Adetola
Klubi-04
🟨
51'
D. Cukici
KäPa
🟨
53'
U. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🔄
61'
M. Pulkkinen ↔ E. Jantunen
KäPa
🔄
61'
A. Le Goff-Conan ↔ V. Konttas
Klubi-04
🟨
64'
Q. Adetola
Klubi-04
🟨
65'
I. Toivonen
Klubi-04
🟨
68'
Y. Lika
KäPa
🔄
73'
P. Lahteenmaki ↔ S. Puputti
KäPa
🔄
73'
D. Cukici ↔ R. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🔄
73'
V. Jokiranta ↔ E. Ahola
KäPa
🟨
86'
A. Almen
KäPa
🔄
90+1'
A. Haikala ↔ A. Zaitra
Klubi-04
🔄
90+1'
R. Hudd ↔ J. De Nascimento
Klubi-04
🔄
90+1'
N. Kroupkin ↔ A. Berisha
Klubi-04

KäPa vs Klubi-04 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 55.4%
Draw 11.8%
Klubi-04 Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.31
Klubi-041.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Klubi-04 Klubi-04
WLDWL
16 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 17 matches
Klubi-04 Klubi-04 17 matches
KäPa Statistic Klubi-04
6 Wins 1
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 9
21 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 24
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
10 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Klubi-04. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. KäPa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Klubi-04 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 15 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 15:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Klubi-04 Analysis

Klubi-04 sit 9 with 8 points after 13 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 10:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 4 times, Klubi-04 won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from KäPa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 4, draws 2, Klubi-04 wins 4

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 41:21 20 54
W W W W W
2 23 14 6 3 41:15 26 48
W D W W D
3 23 12 5 6 43:26 17 41
D L L W W
4 23 11 7 5 32:20 12 40
W L W W L
5 23 10 2 11 21:34 -13 32
L W D L L
6 23 8 4 11 28:35 -7 28
D D L L W
7 23 7 4 12 25:34 -9 25
D W L L L
8 23 4 8 11 28:34 -6 20
L D W W D
9
KäPa Home
23 4 6 13 24:41 -17 18
L D D L L
10 23 2 7 14 14:37 -23 13
D L L L W
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen