FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: A. Ropponen
KäPa
Match Timeline
JäPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
A. Almen
KäPa
🟨
12'
E. Jantunen
KäPa
🔄
13'
P. Haikonen ↔ N. Manner
JäPS
20'
I. Soderlund
JäPS
35'
Y. Lika
KäPa
🔄
46'
A. Pastinen ↔ R. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🔄
61'
E. Jantunen ↔ S. Sillah
KäPa
70'
M. Kuningas · Assist: D. Ripatti
KäPa
🟨
72'
J. Nikki
JäPS
🔄
74'
I. Soderlund ↔ A. Ristola
JäPS
🔄
74'
O. Dahlfors ↔ E. Pallas
JäPS
🔄
74'
O. Jama ↔ H. Kuosa
JäPS
🔄
80'
N. Leinonen ↔ M. Pulkkinen
KäPa
🟨
88'
D. Cukici
KäPa
🟨
90+1'
T. Collin
KäPa
90'
Y. Lika
KäPa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 31%
Draw 23.6%
JäPS Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.17
JäPS1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
JäPS JäPS
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 14 matches
JäPS JäPS 16 matches
KäPa Statistic JäPS
5 Wins 8
3 Draws 1
6 Losses 7
15 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JäPS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors JäPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa sit 8 with 12 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Almen (3 goals), Y. Lika (3 goals), D. Cukici (1 goals), with creative support from N. Leinonen (2 assists), N. Nurmi (1 assists), S. Sillah (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS sit 5 with 16 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 10:16 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Katashira (2 goals), E. Pallas (2 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pallas (1 assists), H. Olander (1 assists), O. Dahlfors (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 6 times, JäPS won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:34 from KäPa's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.4%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 6, draws 4, JäPS wins 5

Lineups

KäPa
Formation
JäPS
T. Collin
T. Collin
U. Huhtamaki
U. Huhtamaki
P. Hietalahti
P. Hietalahti
N. Leinonen
N. Leinonen
A. Almen
A. Almen
Y. Lika
⚽ 2
Y. Lika
A. Pastinen
A. Pastinen
E. Jantunen
E. Jantunen
D. Ripatti
🎯
D. Ripatti
M. Kuningas
M. Kuningas
D. Cukici
D. Cukici
B. Mustafa
B. Mustafa
P. Haikonen
P. Haikonen
J. Nikki
J. Nikki
O. Jama
O. Jama
V. Ahola
V. Ahola
R. Selander
R. Selander
O. Dahlfors
O. Dahlfors
H. Olander
H. Olander
C. Katashira
C. Katashira
I. Soderlund
I. Soderlund
J. Salo
J. Salo
KäPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Collin
🟨 90+1'
2
U. Huhtamaki
4
P. Hietalahti
7
N. Leinonen
↓ 80'
9
A. Almen
🟨 10'
10
Y. Lika
⚽ 35' ⚽ 90'
15
A. Pastinen
↓ 46'
18
E. Jantunen
↓ 61' 🟨 12'
22
D. Ripatti
🎯 70'
25
M. Kuningas
⚽ 70'
36
D. Cukici
🟨 88'
Substitutes
35
R. Piekkanen
5
P. Lindberg
8
R. Huhtamaki
↑ 46'
11
S. Sillah
↑ 61'
13
M. Pulkkinen
↑ 80'
19
T. Koivuranta
29
J. Salmi
37
O. Heinonen
53
A. Pitkanen
JäPS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
B. Mustafa
3
P. Haikonen
↓ 13'
4
J. Nikki
🟨 72'
6
O. Jama
↓ 74'
10
V. Ahola
14
R. Selander
15
O. Dahlfors
↓ 74'
20
H. Olander
21
C. Katashira
27
I. Soderlund
⚽ 20' ↓ 74'
41
J. Salo
Substitutes
36
T. Valtonen
2
N. Manner
↑ 13'
7
S. Maliki
8
R. Heidari
9
A. Ristola
↑ 74'
11
E. Pallas
↑ 74'
13
A. Sainio
17
V. Ketonen
19
H. Kuosa
↑ 74'
Last matches: KäPa
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
Last matches: JäPS
07.08.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
1
0
W
30.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
1
L
25.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
18.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
1
4
L
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
05.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
H2H: KäPa vs JäPS
28.06.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
29.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.01.26
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
3
L
02.08.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
0
3
L
06.06.25
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
2
2
D
02.03.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
5
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
5
L
28.06.24
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
3
D
16.09.23
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
2
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
4
4
D
17.06.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
2
W
27.08.21
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
5
2
L
Last matches: KäPa
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
H2H at home: KäPa
28.06.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
29.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
3
L
02.08.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
0
3
L
02.03.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
5
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
5
L
28.04.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
3
D
17.06.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
2
W
Last matches: JäPS
30.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
1
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
H2H away: JäPS
28.06.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
L
29.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
L
05.09.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
3
W
02.08.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
0
3
W
02.03.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
5
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
5
W
28.04.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
3
D
17.06.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
L
25.03.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
2
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 30:13 17 37
W L D W W
2 17 11 3 3 30:19 11 36
W D L W D
3 18 10 4 4 36:19 17 34
W W W D W
4 18 8 7 3 24:15 9 31
L W D W W
5
JäPS Away
18 9 1 8 17:24 -7 28
W L W W L
6 18 7 2 9 24:30 -6 23
W W D L L
7 18 6 3 9 19:24 -5 21
L W D L D
8
KäPa Home
18 4 4 10 19:30 -11 16
L L L L D
9 17 2 6 9 14:22 -8 12
L L W D L
10 18 1 6 11 8:25 -17 9
L L D D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen