FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: V. Lehtovaara
KäPa
Match Timeline
JäPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
H. Olander
JäPS
39'
P. Hietalahti · Assist: D. Ripatti
KäPa
47'
E. Pallas
JäPS
49'
D. Rokman · Assist: S. Sillah
KäPa
🟨
58'
J. Salo
JäPS
🔄
61'
A. Ristola ↔ O. Dahlfors
JäPS
🔄
64'
A. Almen ↔ R. Huhtamaki
KäPa
🔄
71'
D. Rokman ↔ V. Jokiranta
KäPa
🔄
71'
D. Ripatti ↔ E. Jantunen
KäPa
🟨
74'
E. Pallas
JäPS
🔄
75'
C. Katashira ↔ H. Kuosa
JäPS
🔄
75'
P. Haikonen ↔ A. Sainio
JäPS
🟥
80'
N. Manner
JäPS
🔄
82'
E. Pallas ↔ G. Taskos
JäPS
🔄
82'
O. Jama ↔ R. Heidari
JäPS
🔄
89'
S. Sillah ↔ J. Salmi
KäPa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
84.5%
1.53
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.14
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 15.5%
Draw 35.3%
JäPS Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.05
JäPS1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
JäPS JäPS
WLDWL
12 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 11 matches
JäPS JäPS 13 matches
KäPa Statistic JäPS
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 5
12 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 13
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by JäPS's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JäPS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward JäPS. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. JäPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while KäPa sit 7 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KäPa Analysis

So far, KäPa have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 9 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Lika (3 goals), A. Almen (2 goals), D. Cukici (1 goals), with creative support from N. Leinonen (2 assists), N. Nurmi (1 assists), R. Huhtamaki (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 7:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Katashira (1 goals), E. Pallas (1 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pallas (1 assists), H. Olander (1 assists), R. Selander (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 5 times, JäPS won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:35 from KäPa's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 4.6 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.5%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 5, draws 4, JäPS wins 6

Lineups

KäPa
Formation
JäPS
T. Collin
T. Collin
U. Huhtamaki
U. Huhtamaki
P. Hietalahti
P. Hietalahti
P. Lindberg
P. Lindberg
N. Nurmi
N. Nurmi
A. Almen
A. Almen
Y. Lika
Y. Lika
S. Sillah
🎯
S. Sillah
D. Rokman
D. Rokman
D. Ripatti
🎯
D. Ripatti
M. Kuningas
M. Kuningas
B. Mustafa
B. Mustafa
N. Manner
N. Manner
P. Haikonen
P. Haikonen
O. Jama
O. Jama
A. Ristola
A. Ristola
V. Ahola
V. Ahola
E. Pallas
E. Pallas
R. Selander
R. Selander
H. Olander
H. Olander
C. Katashira
C. Katashira
J. Salo
J. Salo
KäPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Collin
2
U. Huhtamaki
4
P. Hietalahti
⚽ 39'
5
P. Lindberg
6
N. Nurmi
9
A. Almen
↓ 64'
10
Y. Lika
11
S. Sillah
🎯 49' ↓ 89'
21
D. Rokman
⚽ 49' ↓ 71'
22
D. Ripatti
🎯 39' ↓ 71'
25
M. Kuningas
Substitutes
35
R. Piekkanen
3
S. Puputti
8
R. Huhtamaki
↑ 64'
15
A. Pastinen
16
S. Herronen
17
V. Jokiranta
↑ 71'
18
E. Jantunen
↑ 71'
29
J. Salmi
↑ 89'
53
A. Pitkanen
JäPS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
B. Mustafa
2
N. Manner
🟥 80'
3
P. Haikonen
↓ 75'
6
O. Jama
↓ 82'
9
A. Ristola
↓ 61'
10
V. Ahola
11
E. Pallas
⚽ 47' ↓ 82' 🟨 74'
14
R. Selander
20
H. Olander
🟨 23'
21
C. Katashira
↓ 75'
41
J. Salo
🟨 58'
Substitutes
36
T. Valtonen
7
S. Maliki
8
R. Heidari
↑ 82'
13
A. Sainio
↑ 75'
15
O. Dahlfors
↑ 61'
19
H. Kuosa
↑ 75'
22
G. Taskos
↑ 82'
27
I. Soderlund
Last matches: KäPa
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
Last matches: JäPS
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H: KäPa vs JäPS
29.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.01.26
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
3
L
02.08.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
0
3
L
06.06.25
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
2
2
D
02.03.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
5
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
5
L
28.06.24
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
3
D
16.09.23
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
2
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
4
4
D
17.06.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
2
W
27.08.21
H2H
JäPS
KäPa
5
2
L
13.06.21
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
1
2
L
Last matches: KäPa
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
H2H at home: KäPa
29.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
3
L
02.08.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
0
3
L
02.03.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
5
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
5
L
28.04.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
3
D
17.06.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
2
W
13.06.21
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
1
2
L
Last matches: JäPS
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
H2H away: JäPS
29.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
L
05.09.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
2
3
W
02.08.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
0
3
W
02.03.25
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
5
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
5
W
28.04.24
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
3
D
17.06.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
L
25.03.23
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
3
2
L
13.06.21
H2H
KäPa
JäPS
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.30
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.28
Home 3.03
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.57
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 2.75 2.01
Over 3.0 2.33
Over 3.25 2.62
Over 3.5 2.90
Over 4.5 5.25
Under 1.5 3.89
Under 2.0 2.89
Under 2.25 2.34
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.81
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 4.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 3.30
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.25
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.50
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 3.20
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.32
Draw 2.07
Home 3.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.92
Draw 2.53
Home 2.64
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.12
Over 3.25 2.41
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.25
Over 4.25 4.64
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 4.75 6.34
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.0 7.80
Under 1.25 5.39
Under 1.5 3.92
Under 1.75 3.50
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 2.03
Under 2.75 1.79
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.30
Home 2.17
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.28
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.60
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 4.5 4.60
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 4.5 1.12

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 9:6 3 19
W W W W L
2 10 5 3 2 11:6 5 18
D W W D W
3 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
W W D W L
4 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
L L W D W
5
JäPS Away
9 4 1 4 8:10 -2 13
L L L W W
6 9 4 0 5 17:17 0 12
L W W L W
7
KäPa Home
9 3 3 3 10:11 -1 12
W L D L L
8 9 4 0 5 7:9 -2 12
W W L L W
9 9 1 2 6 4:12 -8 5
L L L L D
10 10 0 4 6 6:12 -6 4
D L L D D