FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Markku.fi Areena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 68.2%
Draw 8.7%
EIF Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa1.37
EIF1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
23 GF / 32 GA
EIF EIF
WLDWL
33 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
12
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 20 matches
EIF EIF 21 matches
KäPa Statistic EIF
6 Wins 9
4 Draws 2
10 Losses 10
23 Goals For 33
32 Goals Against 36
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
12 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward EIF. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward EIF having the stronger overall control.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 16 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 19:29 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

EIF Analysis

EIF sit 7 with 20 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 23:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 1 times, EIF won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:31 from KäPa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 1, draws 2, EIF wins 9
Last matches: KäPa
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
Last matches: EIF
31.07.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
0
W
25.07.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
18.07.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
1
L
11.07.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
0
3
L
27.06.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
1
5
L
06.06.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
08.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
3
4
L
03.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
5
2
W
25.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
2
4
L
27.03.26
Fri
EIF
Mariehamn
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
EIF
Turku PS
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
H2H: KäPa vs EIF
23.05.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
0
L
06.02.26
H2H
EIF
KäPa
1
1
D
26.09.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
KäPa
EIF
1
3
L
23.04.25
H2H
EIF
KäPa
4
2
L
29.03.24
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
2
D
12.08.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
2
1
L
04.06.23
H2H
KäPa
EIF
2
3
L
04.02.23
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
L
06.09.14
H2H
KäPa
EIF
4
2
W
12.07.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
0
L
21.05.14
H2H
EIF
KäPa
3
1
L
Last matches: KäPa
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
H2H at home: KäPa
14.06.25
H2H
KäPa
EIF
1
3
L
04.06.23
H2H
KäPa
EIF
2
3
L
06.09.14
H2H
KäPa
EIF
4
2
W
Last matches: EIF
25.07.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
11.07.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
1
3
L
27.06.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
1
5
L
31.05.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
3
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
3
L
03.04.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
2
4
L
27.03.26
Fri
EIF
Mariehamn
2
3
L
H2H away: EIF
14.06.25
H2H
KäPa
EIF
1
3
W
04.06.23
H2H
KäPa
EIF
2
3
W
06.09.14
H2H
KäPa
EIF
4
2
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 3 3 30:19 11 36
W D L W D
2 17 10 4 3 27:13 14 34
L D W W W
3 17 9 4 4 33:19 14 31
W W D W L
4 17 8 7 2 24:12 12 31
W D W W D
5 17 8 1 8 16:24 -8 25
L W W L W
6 17 6 3 8 19:23 -4 21
W D L D W
7
EIF Away
17 6 2 9 23:30 -7 20
W D L L L
8
KäPa Home
17 4 4 9 19:29 -10 16
L L L D L
9 17 2 6 9 14:22 -8 12
L L W D L
10 17 1 6 10 8:22 -14 9
L D D D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen