ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
16.08.2026 14:00
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: M. Pukk
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Vaprus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
O. Musolitin · Assist: M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
13'
R. Siht · Assist: N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
46'
R. Vukusic ↔ M. Tambedou
Kalju Nomme
🔄
46'
R. Orm ↔ M. Villota
Vaprus
🟨
52'
T. Pajo
Vaprus
🟨
52'
N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
56'
M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
58'
A. Borolinstsikov ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
🟨
65'
O. Musolitin
Kalju Nomme
🟨
66'
S. Viidas
Vaprus
🔄
74'
T. Baptista ↔ E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
🔄
74'
M. Orlov ↔ F. Jekimov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
79'
S. Viidas ↔ V. Vallik
Vaprus
🔄
79'
S. Kapper ↔ K. Kauber
Vaprus
🔄
85'
M. Limberg ↔ J. Poder
Vaprus
🔄
85'
T. Pajo ↔ A. Korre
Vaprus
🟨
88'
A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
90'
J. Sild
Vaprus

Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 64.1%
Draw 4.4%
Vaprus Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.9
Vaprus1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
67 GF / 36 GA
Vaprus Vaprus
WLDWL
48 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
19
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 35 matches
Vaprus Vaprus 27 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Vaprus
18 Wins 10
9 Draws 4
8 Losses 13
67 Goals For 48
36 Goals Against 51
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
19 BTTS Yes 17
28 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vaprus. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 41 points compared to Vaprus in 5 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 41 points from 22 games, Kalju Nomme bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 40:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Vaprus Analysis

Vaprus come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 27 points from 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 29:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 8 times, Vaprus won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:19 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 / Vaprus 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 8, draws 3, Vaprus wins 3

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga