ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: R. Maalinn
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Tammeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
23'
E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
28'
A. Nikolajev
Tammeka
🟨
34'
M. Vaino
Tammeka
🟨
44'
Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
🔄
54'
D. Sotsugov ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
58'
M. Vaino ↔ O. Kangaslahti
Tammeka
🔄
58'
Kauan Pereira ↔ T. Koskor
Tammeka
🔄
61'
R. Kallas ↔ Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🔄
72'
R. Muur ↔ P. Marin
Tammeka
🔄
72'
K. Kiidron ↔ M. Hydara
Tammeka
🔄
76'
B. Vastsuk ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🟨
77'
P. Marin
Tammeka
🔄
83'
N. Ivanov ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
88'
M. Podholjuzin
Kalju Nomme
🟥
89'
M. Podholjuzin
Kalju Nomme
🟥
90+5'
D. Mashchenko
Kalju Nomme
90+7'
Pedro Manoel · Assist: Pedro Manoel
Tammeka
90+8'
Pedro Manoel · Assist: Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.43
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.1%
1.43
BTTS No
56%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.81
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 54.1%
Draw 15.1%
Tammeka Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.74
Tammeka1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
47 GF / 22 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
28 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 24 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 20 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Tammeka
13 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
47 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 28
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
11 BTTS Yes 9
19 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Tammeka in 7 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tammeka. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 28 points after 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 26:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on M. Mannilaan (7 goals), N. Ivanov (5 goals), M. Orlov (3 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (4 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), B. Vastsuk (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Tammeka Analysis

So far, Tammeka have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 16 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:19 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by T. Koskor (5 goals), P. Marin (4 goals), Pedro Manoel (3 goals), with creative support from C. Ignatius (3 assists), G. Uggeri (2 assists), Pedro Manoel (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 9 times, Tammeka won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:17 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 9, draws 3, Tammeka wins 3
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
Last matches: Tammeka
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H: Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka
08.03.26
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
1
W
03.08.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
3
W
10.05.25
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
3
W
27.07.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
3
0
W
28.06.24
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
03.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
16.04.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
10.02.23
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
08.10.22
H2H
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
3
0
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kalju Nomme
02.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
1
W
24.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
Last matches: Tammeka
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H away: Tammeka
02.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
2
2
D
27.07.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
3
0
L
03.05.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
2
L
23.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
4
1
L
24.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 4.76
Home 1.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.67
Home 1.87
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.38
Over 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 1.52
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.25 1.93
Over 3.5 2.15
Over 3.75 2.44
Over 4.0 2.99
Under 2.25 2.87
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 2.75 2.42
Under 3.0 2.15
Under 3.25 1.87
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.0 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 4.33
Home 1.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.00
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.05
Draw 4.45
Home 1.41
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.71
Draw 2.49
Home 1.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.39
Draw 3.05
Home 1.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.89
Over 3.5 2.11
Over 3.75 2.33
Over 4.0 2.81
Over 4.25 3.08
Over 4.5 3.34
Over 4.75 4.09
Over 5.0 5.30
Over 5.25 5.60
Over 5.5 5.90
Over 6.0 9.10
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 5.05
Under 1.75 4.66
Under 2.0 4.25
Under 2.25 3.05
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.31
Under 3.0 2.00
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.48
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.28
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 4.60
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.75
Home 1.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.40
Draw 3.10
Home 1.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.0 1.18
Over 2.25 1.33
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.75
Over 3.25 1.98
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.55
Over 4.0 3.15
Over 4.25 3.45
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 4.75 4.60
Over 5.0 6.00
Over 5.25 6.25
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.0 10.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.0 4.10
Under 2.25 3.00
Under 2.5 2.45
Under 2.75 2.20
Under 3.0 1.95
Under 3.25 1.72
Under 3.5 1.56
Under 3.75 1.44
Under 4.0 1.29
Under 4.25 1.25
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 4.75 1.15
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.0 1.04

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 3 0 42:11 31 39
W W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 15 9 2 4 27:11 16 29
D L W W L
4 15 6 4 5 23:20 3 22
D D L L W
5 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
6 15 6 1 8 20:26 -6 19
L W L L L
7 14 5 2 7 15:19 -4 17
D L W W W
8 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
9 15 5 1 9 29:37 -8 16
W L L L L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga