ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: M. Pukk
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Paide
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🟨
16'
Daniel Cabral
Paide
35'
E. E. Lotar Eyang · Assist: N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
44'
N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
59'
Victor Hugo
Paide
🔄
59'
D. Sotsugov ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
59'
E. E. Lotar Eyang ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
61'
Daniel Cabral ↔ E. Tur
Paide
🔄
61'
R. Nigula ↔ O. Hoim
Paide
🔄
66'
A. Badamosi ↔ H. Anier
Paide
🔄
66'
S. Luts ↔ K. Piht
Paide
68'
H. Anier · Assist: D. Luts
Paide
🔄
71'
M. Mannilaan ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🟨
73'
S. Luts
Paide
🟨
73'
I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🔄
77'
A. Nikolajev ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🟨
81'
T. Kink
Paide
🔄
81'
D. Luts ↔ H. Ojamaa
Paide
🟨
83'
D. Mashchenko
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+4'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🟥
90+4'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+9'
M. P. Sohna
Paide
🟨
90+9'
B. Vastsuk
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.4%
1.18
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 44.9%
Draw 7.6%
Paide Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.76
Paide1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
46 GF / 21 GA
Paide Paide
WLDWL
37 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.68
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
10
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 23 matches
Paide Paide 22 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Paide
13 Wins 10
4 Draws 5
6 Losses 7
46 Goals For 37
21 Goals Against 31
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
10 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paide. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paide having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Placed 2 with 28 points from 14 outings, Kalju Nomme continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 26:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by M. Mannilaan (7 goals), N. Ivanov (5 goals), M. Orlov (3 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (4 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), B. Vastsuk (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Paide Analysis

Placed 4 with 21 points from 14 outings, Paide continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:19 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Cabral (5 goals), M. P. Sohna (4 goals), H. Anier (3 goals), with creative support from H. Anier (3 assists), Victor Hugo (2 assists), M. P. Sohna (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 3 times, Paide won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 3, draws 5, Paide wins 7

Lineups

Kalju Nomme
Formation
Paide
H. Perk
H. Perk
D. Mashchenko
D. Mashchenko
M. Podholjuzin
M. Podholjuzin
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
A. Nikolajev
A. Nikolajev
D. Sotsugov
D. Sotsugov
R. Siht
R. Siht
B. Vastsuk
B. Vastsuk
E. E. Lotar Eyang
E. E. Lotar Eyang
M. Mannilaan
M. Mannilaan
N. Ivanov
🎯
N. Ivanov
E. Jarju
E. Jarju
M. Lilander
M. Lilander
N. Baranov
N. Baranov
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
R. Nigula
R. Nigula
Daniel Cabral
Daniel Cabral
M. Miller
M. Miller
S. Luts
S. Luts
M. P. Sohna
M. P. Sohna
D. Luts
🎯
D. Luts
A. Badamosi
A. Badamosi
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
78
D. Mashchenko
🟨 83'
50
M. Podholjuzin
46
R. Vukusic
🟨 4' 🟨 90+4' 🟥 90+4'
22
A. Nikolajev
↓ 77'
88
D. Sotsugov
↓ 59'
26
R. Siht
59
B. Vastsuk
🟨 90+9'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
⚽ 35' ↓ 59'
27
M. Mannilaan
↓ 71'
10
N. Ivanov
🎯 35' 🟨 44'
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
2
J. Lillemets
5
U. Korre
7
D. Tarassenkov
↑ 59'
9
G. Chinemeren
11
M. Orlov
↑ 59'
14
J. Pihkva
21
T. Baptista
↑ 77'
30
I. Jabir
↑ 71' 🟨 73'
Paide 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
E. Jarju
2
M. Lilander
27
N. Baranov
3
Victor Hugo
🟨 59'
24
R. Nigula
↓ 61'
6
Daniel Cabral
↓ 61' 🟨 16'
10
M. Miller
19
S. Luts
↓ 66' 🟨 73'
11
M. P. Sohna
🟨 90+9'
77
D. Luts
🎯 68' ↓ 81'
30
A. Badamosi
↓ 66'
Substitutes
12
M. Meerits
4
Andrade
7
E. Tur
↑ 61'
8
H. Ojamaa
↑ 81'
9
H. Anier
⚽ 68' ↑ 66'
14
M. Jobarteh
15
H. Ojamaa
16
A. Surogin
17
P. A. Cham
20
K. Piht
↑ 66'
28
O. Hoim
↑ 61'
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
Last matches: Paide
17.06.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
1
0
W
31.05.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
17.05.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
2
W
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
19.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Paide
Trans Narva
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Paide
Metta / LU
2
1
W
H2H: Kalju Nomme vs Paide
14.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
14.02.26
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
L
08.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
2
L
09.03.25
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
4
0
L
05.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
0
W
06.10.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
4
L
22.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
08.05.24
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
3
1
L
14.04.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
1
W
31.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
3
3
D
03.09.23
H2H
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
0
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kalju Nomme
14.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
08.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
2
L
05.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
0
W
01.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
4
L
14.04.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
1
W
31.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
3
3
D
Last matches: Paide
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
10.05.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
2
W
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
07.03.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Paide
Trans Narva
1
1
D
19.01.26
Fri
Paide
FK Liepaja
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Paide
AIK Stockholm
0
6
L
10.07.25
UEF
Paide
Magpies
3
2
W
H2H away: Paide
14.06.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
08.11.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
2
W
05.03.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
4
W
14.04.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
2
1
L
31.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Paide
3
3
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.67
Draw 4.16
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.93
Draw 2.38
Home 2.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.30
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.52
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.24
Over 3.25 2.52
Over 3.5 2.82
Under 1.75 3.34
Under 2.0 3.14
Under 2.25 2.44
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.63
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.90
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.62
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.66
Draw 3.90
Home 1.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.99
Draw 2.29
Home 2.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.64
Draw 2.67
Home 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.29
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.12
Over 3.25 2.38
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 3.75 3.14
Over 4.0 4.15
Over 4.25 4.44
Over 4.5 4.75
Over 4.75 5.95
Over 5.0 8.20
Over 5.5 8.70
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.70
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 8.60
Under 1.25 5.24
Under 1.5 3.82
Under 1.75 3.42
Under 2.0 3.04
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.14
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.70
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.43
Home 2.23
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 2.75 1.77
Over 3.0 2.02
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 3.95
Over 4.25 4.25
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 4.75 5.60
Over 5.0 8.00
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.35
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.93
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.18
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.10
Under 5.0 1.05

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 3 0 44:12 32 42
W W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 16 9 2 5 28:13 15 29
L D L W W
4
Paide Away
16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 16 6 1 9 20:27 -7 19
L L W L L
8 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
9 16 5 1 10 30:39 -9 16
L W L L L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga