KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
76.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
82.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kabati Youth FC Win 22.6%
Draw 6.8%
Nzoia Sugar Win 70.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kabati Youth FC0.73
Nzoia Sugar1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC
WWDLW
19 GF / 42 GA
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
10
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC 30 matches
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar 30 matches
Kabati Youth FC Statistic Nzoia Sugar
7 Wins 10
6 Draws 12
17 Losses 8
19 Goals For 29
42 Goals Against 26
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
10 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Nzoia Sugar's more proactive style and Kabati Youth FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nzoia Sugar. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nzoia Sugar having the stronger overall control.

Kabati Youth FC Analysis

Kabati Youth FC sit 17 with 27 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats with a 19:42 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nzoia Sugar Analysis

Nzoia Sugar sit 10 with 42 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 29:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kabati Youth FC won 0 times, Nzoia Sugar won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Kabati Youth FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Kabati Youth FC wins 0, draws 2, Nzoia Sugar wins 0
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
13.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: Nzoia Sugar
13.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
3
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
0
2
L
24.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
0
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
3K
1
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
3
1
W
14.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
08.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
1
1
D
H2H: Kabati Youth FC vs Nzoia Sugar
03.05.26
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
12.12.25
H2H
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
07.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
W
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
2
L
18.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
2
1
W
07.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
16.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
0
0
D
30.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
28.09.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kabati Youth FC
03.05.26
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
Last matches: Nzoia Sugar
07.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
27.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
0
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
0
4
L
12.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
3K
1
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
20.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
1
1
D
12.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
4
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
15.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
12.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
04.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
2
2
D
H2H away: Nzoia Sugar
03.05.26
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation