KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.7%
-
BTTS Yes
61.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kabati Youth FC Win 28.8%
Draw 10.5%
Naivas Win 60.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kabati Youth FC0.79
Naivas1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC
WWDLW
29 GF / 50 GA
Naivas Naivas
WLDWL
45 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
14
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC 36 matches
Naivas Naivas 36 matches
Kabati Youth FC Statistic Naivas
9 Wins 17
8 Draws 9
19 Losses 10
29 Goals For 45
50 Goals Against 27
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
14 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 16
15 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Naivas's more proactive style and Kabati Youth FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naivas having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Naivas. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Naivas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 60 points while Kabati Youth FC sit 16 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kabati Youth FC Analysis

Kabati Youth FC sit 16 with 35 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 29:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Naivas Analysis

So far, Naivas have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 60 points from 36 matches. The record of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 45:27 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kabati Youth FC won 1 times, Naivas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Kabati Youth FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
H2H summary: Kabati Youth FC wins 1, draws 1, Naivas wins 0
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
13.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
2
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
01.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
4
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
21.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
H2H: Kabati Youth FC vs Naivas
07.06.26
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
W
03.11.25
H2H
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
2
L
18.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
2
1
W
07.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
16.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
0
0
D
30.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MOFA
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
28.09.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kabati Youth FC
07.06.26
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
W
Last matches: Naivas
28.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
2
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
4
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
Naivas
3K
2
1
W
12.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
30.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
0
2
L
15.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
0
0
D
29.10.25
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
11.10.25
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
H2H away: Naivas
07.06.26
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation