ITALY SERIE A
20.09.2026 16:00
Allianz Stadium
Referee: L. Zufferli

Juventus vs Atalanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
1.71
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Juventus Win 51.8%
Draw 13.1%
Atalanta Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventus1.34
Atalanta1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventus Juventus
WWDLW
18 GF / 6 GA
Atalanta Atalanta
WLDWL
14 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
6
6.2
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventus Juventus 11 matches
Atalanta Atalanta 10 matches
Juventus Statistic Atalanta
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
18 Goals For 14
6 Goals Against 9
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
3 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
6.2 Shots On Goal 4
17 Total Shots 11.83
7.8 Corners 3
55.2% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Juventus won 5 times, Atalanta won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Juventus's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Juventus 4-2-3-1 / Atalanta 4-3-3
Missing players: Juventus 8, Atalanta 3
H2H summary: Juventus wins 5, draws 7, Atalanta wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 4 3 1 0 9:4 5 10
W W W D
6 4 2 2 0 7:4 3 8
D D W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
D W W L
8 4 2 1 1 6:4 2 7
L D W W
9 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
L L W W
12 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
16 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
18 4 0 1 3 2:6 -4 1
L D L L
19 4 0 1 3 2:8 -6 1
D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation