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BRAZIL › SERIE B
11.10.2026 19:00
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil
Juventude
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
Rodrigo Sam · Assist: Rai Silva
Juventude
🟨
31'
Alex Alves
São Bernardo
🟨
35'
Jemerson
São Bernardo
VAR
45'
Lucas Lima
São Bernardo
⚽
45'
Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🟨
46'
Marcos Paulo
Juventude
🔄
46'
Fabio Lima ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
⚽
49'
Lucas Fernandes · Assist: Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🔄
61'
Rai Ramos ↔ Nathan Santos
Juventude
🔄
61'
Marcos Paulo ↔ Juan Christian
Juventude
🟨
63'
Lucas Lima
São Bernardo
🔄
65'
Pedrinho ↔ Lucas Rian
São Bernardo
🔄
65'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
⚽
69'
Rai Silva · Assist: MP
Juventude
🔄
76'
Lucas Fernandes ↔ Hyoran
São Bernardo
🔄
78'
MP ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
83'
Gabriel Pires ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
86'
Para ↔ Hugo Sanches
São Bernardo
🔄
86'
Lucas Lima ↔ Foguinho
São Bernardo
🟨
90+3'
Rodrigo Ferreira
São Bernardo

Juventude vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 51.4%
Draw 16.9%
São Bernardo Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.12
São Bernardo1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
W W W L L
7 GF / 4 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
L W D W W
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
7
BTTS Yes
19
9
Over 2.5
15
4.28
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 32 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 32 matches
Juventude Statistic São Bernardo
17 Wins 12
8 Draws 9
7 Losses 11
37 Goals For 44
19 Goals Against 34
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
7 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 15
2 Over 3.5 6
22 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 6
4.28 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.91 Total Shots 12
4.19 Corners 4.78
50% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward São Bernardo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-5-2 and São Bernardo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 56 points compared to São Bernardo in 12 on 45, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 56 points after 31 outings. The return of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 35:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (6 goals), Alisson Safira (4 goals), Alan Kardec (3 goals), with creative support from Aderlan (5 assists), Gabriel Pires (2 assists), Rodrigo Sam (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

São Bernardo Analysis

So far, São Bernardo have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 45 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 44:34 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pedrinho (5 goals), Pedro Vitor (4 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Eduardo (4 assists), Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 1 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Juventude's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-5-2 / São Bernardo 3-4-3
H2H summary: Juventude wins 1, draws 0, São Bernardo wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 18 10 7 62:30 32 64
W D W W W
2 35 18 8 9 50:36 14 62
L D W D W
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 35 17 8 10 36:30 6 59
L W W L W
6 35 14 12 9 47:38 9 54
W L D W W
7 35 14 12 9 42:33 9 54
L D D L W
8 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
9 35 14 9 12 45:46 -1 51
W L L L L
10 34 14 7 13 34:40 -6 49
D W W L L
11 35 13 10 12 49:39 10 49
W L D L W
12 35 13 8 14 40:38 2 47
W W W W L
13 34 11 14 9 32:27 5 47
L L D W L
14 35 10 14 11 40:40 0 44
L D D L L
15 34 11 10 13 39:42 -3 43
D L L D W
16 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
17 35 10 7 18 33:45 -12 37
L D W W L
18 34 8 8 18 43:49 -6 32
W D L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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