BRAZIL › SERIE B
14.06.2026 14:00
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: K. Goncalves
Juventude
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
MP
Juventude
⚽
30'
MP
Juventude
VAR
38'
Lucas Mineiro
Juventude
🟨
41'
Sergio Palacios
Ponte Preta
⚽
45+6'
Alisson Safira
Juventude
🔄
46'
David da Hora ↔ Miguel Morais
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Brandao ↔ Kevyson
Ponte Preta
🟨
48'
Marcos Paulo
Juventude
⚽
53'
Fabio Lima
Juventude
🔄
57'
Marcos Paulo ↔ Titi
Juventude
🔄
57'
Lucas Mineiro ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
57'
Thalys ↔ Julio
Ponte Preta
🟨
62'
Julio de Oliveira
Ponte Preta
🔄
63'
Leo Gomes ↔ Gustavo Telles
Ponte Preta
🟨
65'
Sergio Palacios
Ponte Preta
🟥
65'
Sergio Palacios
Ponte Preta
🔄
67'
Alisson Safira ↔ Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
67'
Diogo Barbosa ↔ Patryck
Juventude
🔄
70'
Diego Tavares ↔ Jonathan Cafu
Ponte Preta
🔄
78'
Rai Silva ↔ Ray Breno
Juventude

Juventude vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 73.8%
Draw 9.4%
Ponte Preta Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.23
Ponte Preta0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
10 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
3
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
7
4.08
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 12 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 12 matches
Juventude Statistic Ponte Preta
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 8
10 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 22
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
3 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 4
4.08 Shots On Goal 3.75
11.42 Total Shots 11.25
4 Corners 5.83
50.7% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Juventude's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Ponte Preta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ponte Preta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 16 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Juventude Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Juventude have collected 16 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (2 goals), Alisson Safira (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 9:20 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 4 times, Ponte Preta won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from Juventude's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Ponte Preta 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 4, draws 2, Ponte Preta wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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