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BRAZIL › SERIE B
02.10.2026 23:45
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: Julio Cesar Pfleger, Brazil
Juventude
Match Timeline
Operario-PR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Marcos Paulo
Juventude
⚽
22'
Gabriel Pires
Juventude
🟨
25'
Luis Mandaca
Juventude
🟨
27'
Mikael Doka
Operario-PR
⚽
41'
Fabio Lima · Assist: Aderlan
Juventude
🔄
46'
Aylon ↔ Moraes
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Mikael Doka ↔ Maguinho
Operario-PR
⚽
56'
Marcos Paulo · Assist: Mandaca
Juventude
🔄
60'
Marcos Paulo ↔ Gabriel Pinheiro
Juventude
🔄
60'
Mandaca ↔ MP
Juventude
🔄
68'
Vinicius Diniz ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
🔄
68'
H. Pereira ↔ Pedro Vilhena
Operario-PR
🔄
69'
Caio Dantas ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
🟨
70'
Gabriel Feliciano
Operario-PR
🔄
70'
Gabriel Pires ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
70'
Fabio Lima ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
82'
Patryck ↔ Wadson
Juventude

Juventude vs Operario-PR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 39.8%
Draw 20.4%
Operario-PR Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.15
Operario-PR1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
W L L W D
6 GF / 6 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
D W D W W
12 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
7
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
19
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 30 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 30 matches
Juventude Statistic Operario-PR
15 Wins 13
8 Draws 9
7 Losses 8
32 Goals For 43
19 Goals Against 38
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
7 BTTS Yes 17
15 Over 1.5 22
8 Over 2.5 19
2 Over 3.5 7
20 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 6
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.27
12.47 Total Shots 13.77
4.17 Corners 4.73
49.9% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Operario-PR in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Operario-PR.

Juventude Analysis

Placed 4 with 50 points from 29 outings, Juventude continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 31:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (4 goals), Alan Kardec (3 goals), with creative support from Aderlan (3 assists), Rodrigo Sam (2 assists), Luan Gonçalves (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 47 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a 41:36 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Boschilia (11 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinícius Diniz (5 goals), with creative support from Boschilia (4 assists), Mikael Doka (4 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 1 times, Operario-PR won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Juventude's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Operario-PR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 1, draws 0, Operario-PR wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 35 17 8 10 36:30 6 59
L W W L W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 35 14 12 9 47:38 9 54
W L D W W
8 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
9 35 14 9 12 45:46 -1 51
W L L L L
10 34 14 7 13 34:40 -6 49
D W W L L
11 34 11 14 9 32:27 5 47
L L D W L
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 35 10 14 11 40:40 0 44
L D D L L
15 34 11 10 13 39:42 -3 43
D L L D W
16 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 34 8 8 18 43:49 -6 32
W D L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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