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BRAZIL › SERIE B
26.10.2026 23:30
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude vs Nautico Recife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 77%
Draw 5.2%
Nautico Recife Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.23
Nautico Recife0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
41 GF / 23 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
39 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
4.26
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 34 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 33 matches
Juventude Statistic Nautico Recife
17 Wins 11
10 Draws 9
7 Losses 13
41 Goals For 39
23 Goals Against 42
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 6
22 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 12
4.26 Shots On Goal 4.42
12.82 Total Shots 15.7
4.24 Corners 5.94
50.5% Ball Possession 57.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Juventude's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Juventude arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 61 points compared to Nautico Recife in 16 on 42, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nautico Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 61 points after 34 outings. The return of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 41:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (8 goals), Alisson Safira (4 goals), Marcos Paulo (3 goals), with creative support from Aderlan (5 assists), Raí (3 assists), Gabriel Pires (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

With 42 points from 33 games and a place of 16, Nautico Recife still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats with a 39:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vinícius (7 goals), Jean Carlos (3 goals), Júnior Todinho (3 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (3 assists), Jean Carlos (3 assists), Yuri (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 2 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Juventude's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 2, draws 4, Nautico Recife wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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