BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: G. Bauermann
Juventude
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
Alisson Safira · Assist: Rai Silva
Juventude
🟨
41'
Marlon Lopes
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Vitor Mendes ↔ H. Pedro
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Marlon ↔ Eric Melo
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Calebe Costa ↔ David Miguel
Cuiaba
🔄
65'
Alisson Safira ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
71'
Rai Silva · Assist: Luan Martins
Juventude
🔄
72'
Kauan Cristtyan ↔ Marcos Junior
Cuiaba
🔄
74'
MP ↔ Allanzinho
Juventude
🔄
74'
Patryck ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🟨
76'
Messias
Juventude
🔄
81'
Jean Dias ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
82'
Luan Martins ↔ Gabriel Pinheiro
Juventude
🔄
82'
Fabio Lima ↔ I. Ly
Juventude
🟨
84'
Wadson
Juventude
🟨
86'
Raí
Juventude
🟨
86'
David
Cuiaba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS Yes
53.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 70.7%
Draw 4.5%
Cuiaba Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude0.86
Cuiaba0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
17 GF / 8 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.47
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
3
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
3
4.47
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 17 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 17 matches
Juventude Statistic Cuiaba
8 Wins 5
5 Draws 9
4 Losses 3
17 Goals For 14
8 Goals Against 11
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.47 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
3 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 8
4.47 Shots On Goal 4.47
11.94 Total Shots 12.47
4.24 Corners 4.76
49.6% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Juventude come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cuiaba. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cuiaba in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 29 points after 17 matches. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:8, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), Wadson (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Wadson (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

So far, Cuiaba have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 24 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 1 times, Cuiaba won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Juventude's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-2-1 / Cuiaba 5-4-1
H2H summary: Juventude wins 1, draws 4, Cuiaba wins 4
Stats
Juventude Juventude
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 5
26 Fouls 24
1 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 8
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
251 Total passes 333
183 Passes accurate 281
0.91 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juventude
Formation
Cuiaba
Jandrei
Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam
Rodrigo Sam
Messias
Messias
Marcos Paulo
Marcos Paulo
Rai Ramos
Rai Ramos
Rai Silva
🎯
Rai Silva
Luan Martins
🎯
Luan Martins
Patryck
Patryck
Fabio Lima
Fabio Lima
MP
MP
Alisson Safira
Alisson Safira
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Vitor Mendes
Vitor Mendes
Alan Empereur
Alan Empereur
Raylan
Raylan
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
Raul
Raul
Marlon
Marlon
Jean Dias
Jean Dias
Kauan Cristtyan
Kauan Cristtyan
Pepe
Pepe
Juventude 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
93
Jandrei
G
34
Rodrigo Sam
D
4
Messias
🟨 76'
D
47
Marcos Paulo
D
2
Rai Ramos
M
75
Rai Silva
⚽ 71' 🎯 32' 🟨 86'
M
5
Luan Martins
🎯 71' ↓ 82'
M
30
Patryck
↓ 74'
M
11
Fabio Lima
↓ 82'
F
10
MP
↓ 74'
F
25
Alisson Safira
⚽ 32' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
12
Pedro Rocha
G
3
Titi
D
7
Pablo Roberto
M
20
Allanzinho
↑ 74'
F
27
Ray Breno
6
Wadson
↑ 74' 🟨 84'
D
9
Alan Kardec
↑ 65'
F
17
M. Castro
F
97
Gabriel Pinheiro
↑ 82'
D
22
Nathan Santos
D
72
Lucas Alves
26
I. Ly
↑ 82'
Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
13
Joao Basso
D
4
Vitor Mendes
↓ 46'
D
33
Alan Empereur
D
37
Raylan
M
5
Calebe Costa
↓ 46'
M
30
Raul
M
6
Marlon
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
M
77
Jean Dias
↓ 81'
F
41
Kauan Cristtyan
↓ 72'
F
8
Pepe
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
23
Marcos Junior
↑ 72'
F
96
H. Pedro
↑ 46'
F
97
Luiz Otavio
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
91
Luis Soares
D
36
Lorenzo
D
14
Eric Melo
↑ 46'
D
29
Vinicius Peixoto
↑ 81'
F
20
David Miguel
↑ 46' 🟨 86'
M
Last matches: Juventude
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
24.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2
4
L
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Juventude
São Bernardo
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Operario-PR
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Juventude
CRB
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
0
2
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
27.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H: Juventude vs Cuiaba
17.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
1
D
05.09.24
H2H
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
0
D
13.08.22
H2H
Cuiaba
Juventude
1
0
L
24.04.22
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
0
1
L
11.09.21
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
2
L
29.05.21
H2H
Cuiaba
Juventude
2
2
D
06.01.21
H2H
Cuiaba
Juventude
1
0
L
06.10.20
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
1
D
Last matches: Juventude
28.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Avai
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ser
Juventude
Vila Nova
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ceara
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Juventude
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Juventude
America Mineiro
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Sport Recife
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juventude
Criciuma
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Londrina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Juventude
Goias
2
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Juventude
Novorizontino
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juventude
17.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
0
1
L
11.09.21
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
2
L
06.10.20
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
1
D
Last matches: Cuiaba
27.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cuiaba
17.07.26
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
2
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
0
1
W
11.09.21
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
2
W
06.10.20
H2H
Juventude
Cuiaba
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
Promotion
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