BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Referee: D. C. Muniz dos Santos
Juventude
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
37'
Lucas Lovat ↔ Reverson
CRB
45'
Thiaguinho · Assist: Danielzinho
CRB
🔄
46'
Rai Ramos ↔ Nathan Santos
Juventude
🔄
46'
Rai Silva ↔ Gabriel Pires
Juventude
VAR
63'
Luis Amarilla
Juventude
🔄
63'
Marcos Paulo ↔ Luan Martins
Juventude
67'
Alisson Safira
Juventude
🔄
72'
Kevin ↔ Hereda
CRB
🔄
72'
Danielzinho ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
76'
MP ↔ Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
79'
L. Amarilla ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
80'
Alan Kardec · Assist: Gabriel Pires
Juventude
🟨
82'
Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
82'
Pedro Castro ↔ Douglas Baggio
CRB
🔄
83'
Thiaguinho ↔ Estevao
CRB
🟨
90+5'
Reverson
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.29
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
2.29
BTTS No
56%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.8%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Juventude Win 58.6%
Draw 6.5%
CRB Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventude1.18
CRB1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventude Juventude
WWDLW
24 GF / 12 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
34 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.48
0.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
4
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
12
4.17
Shots on Goal
5.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventude Juventude 23 matches
CRB CRB 23 matches
Juventude Statistic CRB
12 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
24 Goals For 34
12 Goals Against 32
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
0.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
4 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 17
5 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 8
17 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
4.17 Shots On Goal 5.52
12.17 Total Shots 17.09
4.39 Corners 4.91
49.9% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Juventude's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CRB look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventude expected to line up in 3-4-3 and CRB in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CRB. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Juventude Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 39 points from 22 games, Juventude bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Raí (5 goals), Alisson Safira (2 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), with creative support from Luan Martins Gonçalves (2 assists), Raí (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 33 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:32 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (12 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Mikael (3 assists), Thiaguinho (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Juventude won 8 times, CRB won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Juventude's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Juventude 3-4-3 / CRB 4-3-3
H2H summary: Juventude wins 8, draws 1, CRB wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6
CRB Away
25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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